{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1470706d-0b58-4e68-a7b4-6df8eb590fe5", "symbol": "601567", "name": "Ningbo Sanxing Medical Electric Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.062, "architecture_energy": 49.228, "architecture_maturity": 98.578, "architecture_confidence": 91.704, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.18, "rotation_up": 27.98, "upward_expansion": 27.0, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 41.4, "downward_expansion": 68.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.499333, 15.08236, 16.306438, 18.507946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.88, "trend_reference": 21.025477, "distance_from_trend": -0.244726, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.823701, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.333437, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.712638, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.327973, "excess_performance": -0.284769, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.244726, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123189, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.333437, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161473, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.277126, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02926, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.327973, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.519359, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 117289696, "relative_activity": 1.250598, "balance": 0.519359, "dry_up": 1.25717, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091216, "annualized_volatility": 0.512185, "from_high_reference": -0.528223, "from_low_reference": 0.205771 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.025477, "fair_value_reference": 23.823701, "structural_low": 13.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.024989, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.04267, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.240816, "worst_return": -0.248673, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.049562, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026636, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.434679, "worst_return": -0.250948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.019512, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.045391, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.674584, "worst_return": -0.143551, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 100357399.3, "trend": 21.75681, "fair_value": 23.794722, "relative_strength": -34.96322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.328072, "energy": 73.52943, "activity_lines": [ 14.212667, 14.706943, 17.44588, 19.607565 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.0, "volume": 130919533, "typical_volume": 102446435.3, "trend": 21.47381, "fair_value": 23.805614, "relative_strength": -30.409603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.74653, "energy": 64.548822, "activity_lines": [ 14.415333, 14.641351, 16.920526, 19.171642 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.57, "volume": 135101202, "typical_volume": 95002601.35, "trend": 21.263477, "fair_value": 23.816661, "relative_strength": -23.03679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.817817, "energy": 57.263803, "activity_lines": [ 15.144667, 14.914355, 16.613315, 18.855267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.88, "volume": 117289696, "typical_volume": 93786919.3, "trend": 21.025477, "fair_value": 23.823701, "relative_strength": -27.712638, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.061519, "energy": 49.228122, "activity_lines": [ 15.499333, 15.08236, 16.306438, 18.507946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }