{ "ticker": { "uuid": "14737c9f-23b4-4d94-bf38-1e6e30da66ec", "symbol": "3564", "name": "AEWIN Technologies Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.589, "architecture_energy": 14.37, "architecture_maturity": 27.095, "architecture_confidence": 77.189, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.31, "rotation_up": 25.2, "upward_expansion": 52.12, "deceleration": 87.93, "rotation_down": 29.56, "downward_expansion": 18.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.52, 46.525596, 46.151744, 45.440713 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 46.150002, "trend_reference": 45.184816, "distance_from_trend": 0.021361, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 59.809513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.228384, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.550503, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.027275, "excess_performance": -0.414097, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.021361, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003552, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.228384, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089195, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.325505, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.160319, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.027275, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.04007, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 763438, "relative_activity": 0.498118, "balance": 3.04007, "dry_up": 0.585033, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16358, "annualized_volatility": 0.538331, "from_high_reference": -0.262616, "from_low_reference": 0.181694 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.184816, "fair_value_reference": 59.809513, "structural_low": 39.054114, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.015762, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.017114, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.237134, "worst_return": -0.156271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.212518, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.202949, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.381193, "worst_return": -0.137914, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.19984, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.175731, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.761352, "worst_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 48.352052, 48.056568, 46.114501, 45.551562 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.849998, "volume": 1223103, "typical_volume": 1508304.85, "trend": 45.303762, "fair_value": 59.905214, "relative_strength": -37.42379, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.969898, "energy": 10.275607, "activity_lines": [ 46.347412, 46.969821, 45.846693, 45.316135 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.299999, "volume": 601984, "typical_volume": 1513649.0, "trend": 45.21528, "fair_value": 59.81835, "relative_strength": -31.236495, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.744578, "energy": 15.770235, "activity_lines": [ 45.848665, 46.750781, 46.01236, 45.380408 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 46.150002, "volume": 763438, "typical_volume": 1532645.9, "trend": 45.184816, "fair_value": 59.809513, "relative_strength": -32.550503, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.588528, "energy": 14.369517, "activity_lines": [ 45.52, 46.525596, 46.151744, 45.440713 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }