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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.537, "architecture_energy": 61.306, "architecture_maturity": 44.749, "architecture_confidence": 82.841, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.86, "rotation_up": 59.75, "upward_expansion": 83.12, "deceleration": 65.53, "rotation_down": 23.78, "downward_expansion": 9.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 41664.037795, 41225.231644, 39720.319464, 38339.379429 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 42950.0, "trend_reference": 36997.981157, "distance_from_trend": 0.160874, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31710.46584, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.354442, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.4376, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.181893, "excess_performance": 0.225602, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.160874, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034156, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.354442, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079423, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.154376, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061213, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.181893, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.928679, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 205128, "relative_activity": 1.355522, "balance": 0.928679, "dry_up": 0.884833, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043155, "annualized_volatility": 0.355156, "from_high_reference": -0.016037, "from_low_reference": 0.501223 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36997.981157, "fair_value_reference": 31710.46584, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.544017, "energy": 82.801215, "activity_lines": [ 41002.959375, 40017.775142, 38388.495796, 37373.420649 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41482.023438, "volume": 110689, "typical_volume": 143859.85, "trend": 36788.089063, "fair_value": 31401.361892, "relative_strength": 15.556991, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.668455, "energy": 79.811404, "activity_lines": [ 41204.590625, 40448.767614, 38851.352083, 37688.35625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40761.762826, "volume": 138245, "typical_volume": 145384.5, "trend": 36832.81449, "fair_value": 31548.578808, "relative_strength": 10.642494, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.604866, "energy": 54.310612, "activity_lines": [ 41080.333442, 40680.766821, 39206.816772, 37944.722299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42950.0, "volume": 205128, "typical_volume": 151327.7, "trend": 36997.981157, "fair_value": 31710.46584, "relative_strength": 15.4376, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.537063, "energy": 61.305628, "activity_lines": [ 41664.037795, 41225.231644, 39720.319464, 38339.379429 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }