{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "149ac286-2d29-4084-a2d3-428cd24739ee",
    "symbol": "TRU",
    "name": "TruFin plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.914,
    "architecture_energy": 86.794,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.463,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.864,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.83,
        "rotation_up": 8.43,
        "upward_expansion": 21.57,
        "deceleration": 37.18,
        "rotation_down": 77.69,
        "downward_expansion": 94.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        95.855893,
        102.26378,
        114.692128,
        118.72298
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 100.0,
    "trend_reference": 122.067797,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.180783,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 84.875217,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.1782,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.184565,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.183673,
    "excess_performance": -0.234909,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180783,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013859,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1782,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.530439,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.221846,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.386702,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183673,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 13.826549,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2762883,
      "relative_activity": 0.994119,
      "balance": 13.826549,
      "dry_up": 4.057961,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075913,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.555612,
      "from_high_reference": -0.319728,
      "from_low_reference": 0.085523
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 122.067797,
      "fair_value_reference": 84.875217,
      "structural_low": 92.1215,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.000204,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005549,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.318681,
        "worst_return": -0.155556,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.219025,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.152913,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.758242,
        "worst_return": -0.211382,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.239177,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.170936,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.007407,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.029393,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.015681,
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        "worst_return": -0.088889,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 83.982783,
        "relative_strength": -27.283367,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 932780.0,
        "trend": 125.16582,
        "fair_value": 84.156888,
        "relative_strength": -25.61944,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -63.816283,
        "energy": 85.92155,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 94.1994,
        "volume": 275965,
        "typical_volume": 839913.35,
        "trend": 124.4558,
        "fair_value": 84.337654,
        "relative_strength": -25.352981,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -85.147942,
        "energy": 94.649865,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.738753,
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          122.831863,
          124.106304
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 93.1605,
        "volume": 369057,
        "typical_volume": 801189.55,
        "trend": 123.627817,
        "fair_value": 84.502144,
        "relative_strength": -26.846201,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.157629,
        "energy": 91.974189,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.14732,
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          119.72013,
          122.087252
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 94.1994,
        "volume": 41704084,
        "typical_volume": 2793638.55,
        "trend": 122.717797,
        "fair_value": 84.666884,
        "relative_strength": -26.667269,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.255644,
        "energy": 88.424829,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.691487,
          104.828033,
          116.854194,
          120.188645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 100.0,
        "volume": 2762883,
        "typical_volume": 2779227.8,
        "trend": 122.067797,
        "fair_value": 84.875217,
        "relative_strength": -22.184565,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.913541,
        "energy": 86.793862,
        "activity_lines": [
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          118.72298
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}