{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "14a0595a-bc48-4f41-b2a9-f29904362d31",
    "symbol": "FPXR",
    "name": "Fidelity Pacific ex-Japan Equity Research Enhanced UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 78.746,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 93.886,
    "architecture_energy": 97.359,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.554,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.484,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.14,
        "rotation_up": 87.45,
        "upward_expansion": 97.67,
        "deceleration": 41.83,
        "rotation_down": 10.68,
        "downward_expansion": 24.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.593867,
        7.453945,
        7.375352,
        7.330555
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.781,
    "trend_reference": 7.275833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.069431,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.107276,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274054,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.738632,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.077402,
    "excess_performance": -0.005481,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069431,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029784,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.274054,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01917,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007386,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058275,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077402,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 4.937581,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013386,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.133311,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.185586
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.275833,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.107276,
      "structural_low": 6.925,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.017111,
        "positive_rate": 0.652174,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.652174,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005632,
        "regime_survival": 0.695652,
        "best_return": 0.086177,
        "worst_return": -0.063873,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.02712,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004845,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
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        "worst_return": -0.061205,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.040181,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.008489,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 7.442,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2055.6,
        "trend": 7.017767,
        "fair_value": 5.930429,
        "relative_strength": 5.088827,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.074074,
        "energy": 76.612018,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.360133,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 7.303,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2055.6,
        "trend": 7.034167,
        "fair_value": 5.943756,
        "relative_strength": 1.99346,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.044481,
        "energy": 46.785184,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2055.6,
        "trend": 7.048633,
        "fair_value": 5.957712,
        "relative_strength": -0.699299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.337874,
        "energy": 40.400355,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 183,
        "typical_volume": 2064.75,
        "trend": 7.0654,
        "fair_value": 5.971833,
        "relative_strength": 0.090236,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.992987,
        "energy": 41.553438,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 7.164,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2064.75,
        "trend": 7.078,
        "fair_value": 5.984506,
        "relative_strength": -1.491284,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.890951,
        "energy": 18.833245,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.274,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.224,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2064.75,
        "trend": 7.095467,
        "fair_value": 5.996282,
        "relative_strength": -2.977022,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.856909,
        "energy": 18.50869,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1115.3,
        "trend": 7.119267,
        "fair_value": 6.009962,
        "relative_strength": -2.71081,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.78086,
        "energy": 16.777097,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.194,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1115.3,
        "trend": 7.1381,
        "fair_value": 6.022808,
        "relative_strength": -6.422682,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.798955,
        "energy": 16.757593,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.229067,
          7.259182,
          7.255314,
          7.225166
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.173,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 98.9,
        "trend": 7.1549,
        "fair_value": 6.036173,
        "relative_strength": -8.177887,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.829018,
        "energy": 11.912398,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.2056,
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          7.247419,
          7.227417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.324,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 98.9,
        "trend": 7.176,
        "fair_value": 6.048628,
        "relative_strength": -4.901505,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.589805,
        "energy": 13.090952,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.2448,
          7.249855,
          7.254824,
          7.238327
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.41,
        "volume": 14476,
        "typical_volume": 822.7,
        "trend": 7.1994,
        "fair_value": 6.061955,
        "relative_strength": -4.408578,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.286624,
        "energy": 33.144456,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.302,
          7.274782,
          7.270881,
          7.253424
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.461,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 822.7,
        "trend": 7.220067,
        "fair_value": 6.075173,
        "relative_strength": -3.528419,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.939725,
        "energy": 70.33385,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.3638,
          7.309564,
          7.292271,
          7.270301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.619,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 822.7,
        "trend": 7.246,
        "fair_value": 6.090397,
        "relative_strength": -1.532504,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.378822,
        "energy": 88.5176,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.466,
          7.3702,
          7.327457,
          7.296039
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.781,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 732.95,
        "trend": 7.275833,
        "fair_value": 6.107276,
        "relative_strength": -0.738632,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.885635,
        "energy": 97.359338,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.593867,
          7.453945,
          7.375352,
          7.330555
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}