{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "14c4f52b-3d17-42a6-b592-1d57582c3703",
    "symbol": "KRPZ",
    "name": "Kropz plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 80.708,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -42.668,
    "architecture_energy": 72.729,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.636,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.782,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.2,
        "rotation_up": 16.19,
        "upward_expansion": 25.14,
        "deceleration": 43.01,
        "rotation_down": 75.44,
        "downward_expansion": 66.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0092,
        0.010282,
        0.011417,
        0.011788
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.009,
    "trend_reference": 0.011733,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.232955,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.011662,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.228232,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.680971,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.058824,
    "excess_performance": 0.007588,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.232955,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152964,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.228232,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.282948,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08681,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.775729,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058824,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 116566,
      "relative_activity": 0.509752,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.334996,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.17094,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.881283,
      "from_high_reference": -0.5,
      "from_low_reference": 1.142857
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.011733,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.011662,
      "structural_low": 0.008,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.041667,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.041512,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.375,
        "worst_return": -0.335484,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.042507,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015355,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.302083,
        "worst_return": -0.387097,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.051596,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100131,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.432292,
        "worst_return": -0.535484,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.209467,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.186005,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.096354,
        "worst_return": -0.677419,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.8,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.074074,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.038462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.48,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.153846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.181818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.071429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.666667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.28,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.0175,
        "volume": 541870,
        "typical_volume": 798769.45,
        "trend": 0.0305,
        "fair_value": 0.054704,
        "relative_strength": -50.661499,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "typical_volume": 476836.85,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 200391,
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        "relative_strength": 31.968862,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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          0.012411
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 155935,
        "typical_volume": 295256.6,
        "trend": 0.011483,
        "fair_value": 0.012024,
        "relative_strength": 27.730478,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 7.595331,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.012333,
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          0.012764,
          0.012455
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.009,
        "volume": 63762,
        "typical_volume": 272179.05,
        "trend": 0.01155,
        "fair_value": 0.011921,
        "relative_strength": -5.390372,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.402059,
        "energy": 43.211285,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0112,
          0.011791,
          0.0124,
          0.012295
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.009,
        "volume": 14206,
        "typical_volume": 268380.05,
        "trend": 0.011617,
        "fair_value": 0.011819,
        "relative_strength": -6.837797,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -49.348312,
        "energy": 63.608401,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0103,
          0.011218,
          0.012055,
          0.01213
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.009,
        "volume": 111883,
        "typical_volume": 244950.0,
        "trend": 0.011683,
        "fair_value": 0.011732,
        "relative_strength": -8.186949,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -47.068002,
        "energy": 71.549373,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.009633,
          0.010718,
          0.011729,
          0.011961
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.009,
        "volume": 116566,
        "typical_volume": 228671.9,
        "trend": 0.011733,
        "fair_value": 0.011662,
        "relative_strength": -8.680971,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.668211,
        "energy": 72.729283,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0092,
          0.010282,
          0.011417,
          0.011788
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}