{ "ticker": { "uuid": "14cf63f8-534c-49d0-ba8b-2e374b2f878f", "symbol": "002275", "name": "Guilin Sanjin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.995, "architecture_energy": 19.481, "architecture_maturity": 92.992, "architecture_confidence": 65.149, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.02, "rotation_up": 30.37, "upward_expansion": 17.77, "deceleration": 46.73, "rotation_down": 22.99, "downward_expansion": 54.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.228667, 13.059636, 13.168365, 13.383505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.36, "trend_reference": 13.69791, "distance_from_trend": -0.024669, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.737681, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027492, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.223947, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.081155, "excess_performance": -0.088555, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.024669, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042933, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027492, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03734, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.092239, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1189, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.081155, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.807233, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10191083, "relative_activity": 1.066162, "balance": 0.807233, "dry_up": 1.253988, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047775, "annualized_volatility": 0.190469, "from_high_reference": -0.221186, "from_low_reference": 0.10596 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.69791, "fair_value_reference": 13.737681, "structural_low": 12.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.017556, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.006978, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.169874, "worst_return": -0.179258, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.030063, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.011289, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.107078, "worst_return": -0.088277, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.063702, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00876, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.301882, "worst_return": -0.103389, "sufficient": false 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12.947323, 13.24747, 13.499853 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.85, "volume": 12769638, "typical_volume": 9500968.1, "trend": 13.75891, "fair_value": 13.758854, "relative_strength": -10.620628, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.055834, "energy": 24.12935, "activity_lines": [ 13.042, 12.915957, 13.18634, 13.437149 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.29, "volume": 10193453, "typical_volume": 9563270.9, "trend": 13.722576, "fair_value": 13.747109, "relative_strength": -5.62738, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.015553, "energy": 21.509988, "activity_lines": [ 13.164, 12.981922, 13.172353, 13.406897 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.36, "volume": 10191083, "typical_volume": 9558662.3, "trend": 13.69791, "fair_value": 13.737681, "relative_strength": -9.223947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.995443, "energy": 19.480939, "activity_lines": [ 13.228667, 13.059636, 13.168365, 13.383505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }