{ "ticker": { "uuid": "14f1a23e-2de3-4871-ba84-58cddbc6a622", "symbol": "BEO-SDB", "name": "Beowulf Mining plc", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 49.119, "architecture_energy": 53.32, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 56.779, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.48, "rotation_up": 68.0, "upward_expansion": 59.61, "deceleration": 22.19, "rotation_down": 17.97, "downward_expansion": 17.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.0724, 1.006909, 0.91821, 0.913082 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.255, "trend_reference": 0.960333, "distance_from_trend": 0.306838, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.656492, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.656775, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.559219, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.093206, "excess_performance": 0.031711, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.306838, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168014, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.656775, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.20022, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065592, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.496821, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.093206, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.735113, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1010019, "relative_activity": 1.447244, "balance": 1.735113, "dry_up": 0.77991, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.174686, "annualized_volatility": 1.197847, "from_high_reference": -0.371872, "from_low_reference": 2.680352 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.960333, "fair_value_reference": 3.656492, "structural_low": 0.341, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.397683, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.330876, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.347009, "worst_return": -0.400357, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.648359, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.645968, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.632432, "worst_return": -0.664286, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.68953, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.715373, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.631918, "worst_return": -0.747143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"relative_strength": -23.94325, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.161143, "energy": 12.346437, "activity_lines": [ 0.956067, 0.928727, 0.8681, 0.894867 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.98, "volume": 348711, "typical_volume": 721270.45, "trend": 0.967033, "fair_value": 3.71896, "relative_strength": -26.030156, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.069267, "energy": 20.385608, "activity_lines": [ 0.9728, 0.945873, 0.880467, 0.894503 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.255, "volume": 1010019, "typical_volume": 697891.2, "trend": 0.960333, "fair_value": 3.656492, "relative_strength": -6.559219, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.118582, "energy": 53.319506, "activity_lines": [ 1.0724, 1.006909, 0.91821, 0.913082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }