{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "14f38194-89d1-4e02-87e6-6df51f53ee79",
    "symbol": "JEPQ",
    "name": "JPMORGAN NASDAQ EQUITY PREMIUM INCOME ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.73,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.202,
    "architecture_energy": 21.708,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.024,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.357,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.89,
        "rotation_up": 28.83,
        "upward_expansion": 55.48,
        "deceleration": 88.1,
        "rotation_down": 35.17,
        "downward_expansion": 21.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
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    "latest_close": 59.74,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.043423,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.51435,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.257304,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.176141,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069033,
    "excess_performance": -0.11842,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043423,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022389,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.257304,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026305,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061761,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022092,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069033,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.654142,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 38802096,
      "relative_activity": 1.147562,
      "balance": 1.654142,
      "dry_up": 1.11987,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032631,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.144177,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021845,
      "from_low_reference": 0.197791
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 47.51435,
      "structural_low": 51.967153,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.01965,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 8.2e-05,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 46.942475,
        "relative_strength": -6.865563,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 33646965.25,
        "trend": 57.03898,
        "fair_value": 47.083974,
        "relative_strength": -5.920711,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.078454,
        "energy": 22.62114,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.267984,
        "volume": 32768044,
        "typical_volume": 33436295.25,
        "trend": 57.077138,
        "fair_value": 47.218553,
        "relative_strength": -5.19281,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.867327,
        "energy": 16.920429,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.554522,
        "volume": 43146363,
        "typical_volume": 33467838.25,
        "trend": 57.146102,
        "fair_value": 47.358214,
        "relative_strength": -5.124564,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.027186,
        "energy": 16.059397,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.902319,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 59.74,
        "volume": 38802096,
        "typical_volume": 33812629.2,
        "trend": 57.253848,
        "fair_value": 47.51435,
        "relative_strength": -6.176141,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.201721,
        "energy": 21.708203,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}