{ "ticker": { "uuid": "14f46552-7cf6-4fda-bf26-c9fe18be3f72", "symbol": "SRPL", "name": "Shree Ram Proteins Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.555, "architecture_energy": 84.972, "architecture_maturity": 79.19, "architecture_confidence": 92.919, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.21, "rotation_up": 24.36, "upward_expansion": 19.09, "deceleration": 39.24, "rotation_down": 69.21, "downward_expansion": 97.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.336, 0.348, 0.375952, 0.406366 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.33, "trend_reference": 0.455667, "distance_from_trend": -0.275786, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.957051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.655191, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.634579, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.45, "excess_performance": -0.406291, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.275786, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183393, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.655191, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018404, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.396346, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121291, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.45, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 268391, "relative_activity": 0.654375, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.459972, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062937, "annualized_volatility": 0.151894, "from_high_reference": -0.607143, "from_low_reference": 0.03125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.455667, "fair_value_reference": 0.957051, "structural_low": 0.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.082951, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.08598, "regime_survival": 0.925, "best_return": 0.465517, "worst_return": -0.383721, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.097391, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.187013, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.235294, "worst_return": -0.512195, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.355128, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.45057, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.145455, "worst_return": -0.571734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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0.363333, 0.380364, 0.408143, 0.443828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.35, "volume": 1206541, "typical_volume": 371581.95, "trend": 0.488333, "fair_value": 1.001603, "relative_strength": -37.154629, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.785243, "energy": 83.157826, "activity_lines": [ 0.356667, 0.372, 0.399905, 0.434237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.34, "volume": 620150, "typical_volume": 391888.3, "trend": 0.477333, "fair_value": 0.985833, "relative_strength": -36.907831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.851783, "energy": 85.382411, "activity_lines": [ 0.349333, 0.363455, 0.391667, 0.424667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.33, "volume": 300139, "typical_volume": 403249.8, "trend": 0.466333, "fair_value": 0.970641, "relative_strength": -39.733367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.471408, "energy": 88.162981, "activity_lines": [ 0.341333, 0.354909, 0.383381, 0.415161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.33, "volume": 268391, "typical_volume": 410148.5, "trend": 0.455667, "fair_value": 0.957051, "relative_strength": -39.634579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.555442, "energy": 84.971638, "activity_lines": [ 0.336, 0.348, 0.375952, 0.406366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }