{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "14fa7dea-a3a2-468e-8632-2cfb35e5f728",
    "symbol": "ELOVD",
    "name": "UBS Factor MSCI EMU Low Volatility UCITS ETF EUR dis",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.84,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.777,
    "architecture_energy": 86.838,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.188,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.483,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.38,
        "rotation_up": 86.14,
        "upward_expansion": 95.56,
        "deceleration": 43.0,
        "rotation_down": 10.85,
        "downward_expansion": 17.56
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 19.938,
    "trend_reference": 18.723867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064844,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 16.1483,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234681,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.492524,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.0882,
    "excess_performance": -0.082692,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064844,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036885,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234681,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047175,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054925,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01536,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0882,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 20.694853,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 5.769461,
      "balance": 20.694853,
      "dry_up": 2.432142,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01088,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.117334,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000902,
      "from_low_reference": 0.182422
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 16.1483,
      "structural_low": 17.521999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
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        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009722,
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        "worst_return": -0.064627,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.053825,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -6.670793,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 91.301544,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 568.8,
        "trend": 18.4992,
        "fair_value": 16.036076,
        "relative_strength": -4.635173,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.457861,
        "energy": 91.192506,
        "activity_lines": [
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          18.943619,
          18.784886
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 19.662001,
        "volume": 3019,
        "typical_volume": 719.7,
        "trend": 18.574133,
        "fair_value": 16.071347,
        "relative_strength": -3.765735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.93393,
        "energy": 92.146638,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.572,
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          19.028324,
          18.859905
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.662001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 622.15,
        "trend": 18.6444,
        "fair_value": 16.109156,
        "relative_strength": -4.236479,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.003448,
        "energy": 87.702921,
        "activity_lines": [
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          19.110305,
          18.93009
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.938,
        "volume": 4825,
        "typical_volume": 836.3,
        "trend": 18.723867,
        "fair_value": 16.1483,
        "relative_strength": -5.492524,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.776524,
        "energy": 86.837878,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}