{ "ticker": { "uuid": "14fcd209-b4a9-46f1-8545-5602b3d9db78", "symbol": "4502", "name": "Jian Sin Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.095, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.569, "architecture_energy": 21.381, "architecture_maturity": 32.707, "architecture_confidence": 93.266, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.45, "rotation_up": 19.33, "upward_expansion": 1.52, "deceleration": 48.42, "rotation_down": 44.45, "downward_expansion": 74.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.716667, 15.73, 15.792619, 15.813763 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.7, "trend_reference": 15.84, "distance_from_trend": -0.008838, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.991987, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.345615, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.852604, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.012579, "excess_performance": -0.453951, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008838, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004191, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.345615, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029384, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318526, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039929, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.012579, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.942693, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56145, "relative_activity": 0.386569, "balance": 0.942693, "dry_up": 0.74752, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029397, "annualized_volatility": 0.078463, "from_high_reference": -0.19898, "from_low_reference": 0.043189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.84, "fair_value_reference": 23.991987, "structural_low": 15.05, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.002706, "positive_rate": 0.136364, "directional_follow_through": 0.136364, "median_excess_return": -0.014677, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.053619, "worst_return": -0.060606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.009236, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.093808, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.012887, "worst_return": -0.1, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.046392, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.081543, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": -0.005405, "worst_return": -0.228378, "sufficient": true }, { 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{ "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.7, "volume": 67000, "typical_volume": 148440.05, "trend": 15.843333, "fair_value": 24.127885, "relative_strength": -30.518174, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.553046, "energy": 21.091379, "activity_lines": [ 15.726667, 15.742727, 15.805952, 15.823011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 15.7, "volume": 56145, "typical_volume": 145239.3, "trend": 15.84, "fair_value": 23.991987, "relative_strength": -31.852604, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.569322, "energy": 21.381386, "activity_lines": [ 15.716667, 15.73, 15.792619, 15.813763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }