{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "14fd643f-bcab-480a-9df0-8c23da7c162d",
    "symbol": "XHC",
    "name": "iShares Global Healthcare Index ETF (CAD-Hedged)",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 54.93,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.399,
    "architecture_energy": 54.014,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.136,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.547,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.06,
        "rotation_up": 66.26,
        "upward_expansion": 80.71,
        "deceleration": 59.05,
        "rotation_down": 14.89,
        "downward_expansion": 7.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        72.627333,
        72.039493,
        70.217577,
        69.646207
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 73.610001,
    "trend_reference": 69.54675,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.058425,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 66.338272,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.109616,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.407177,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.02151,
    "excess_performance": -0.098911,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058425,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005939,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109616,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11778,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044072,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084655,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02151,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.467626,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23600,
      "relative_activity": 0.96761,
      "balance": 1.467626,
      "dry_up": 1.52419,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029957,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.177056,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014855,
      "from_low_reference": 0.22465
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 69.54675,
      "fair_value_reference": 66.338272,
      "structural_low": 64.59766,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.011865,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00882,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.048223,
        "worst_return": -0.099543,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.002262,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019996,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.111633,
        "worst_return": -0.090403,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.016416,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002111,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.103945,
        "worst_return": -0.107852,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.010102,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025596,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.028247,
        "worst_return": -0.014698,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.001154,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.080676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.016561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.030731,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0121,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.000604,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.101811,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.004328,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 69.06514,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 43095.0,
        "trend": 69.091463,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 42095.0,
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        "fair_value": 65.719149,
        "relative_strength": -10.743385,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 41135.0,
        "trend": 69.208695,
        "fair_value": 65.767084,
        "relative_strength": -7.943241,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 39605.0,
        "trend": 69.205665,
        "fair_value": 65.81349,
        "relative_strength": -8.507361,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 37955.0,
        "trend": 69.105514,
        "fair_value": 65.84971,
        "relative_strength": -10.531199,
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        "energy": 22.400747,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 35630.0,
        "trend": 69.125389,
        "fair_value": 65.913453,
        "relative_strength": -4.234377,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.151039,
        "energy": 34.033627,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 73.93,
        "volume": 3000,
        "typical_volume": 34070.0,
        "trend": 69.270601,
        "fair_value": 66.004569,
        "relative_strength": -1.828252,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 67.050945,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 71.75,
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        "typical_volume": 34710.0,
        "trend": 69.33459,
        "fair_value": 66.075497,
        "relative_strength": -4.651184,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.465423,
        "energy": 63.563048,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 71.82,
        "volume": 40500,
        "typical_volume": 35380.0,
        "trend": 69.392358,
        "fair_value": 66.132791,
        "relative_strength": -4.282356,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.158612,
        "energy": 63.653891,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.894128,
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          68.97347,
          69.009961
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 72.389999,
        "volume": 18500,
        "typical_volume": 33745.0,
        "trend": 69.44675,
        "fair_value": 66.19723,
        "relative_strength": -3.59587,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.74434,
        "energy": 67.618505,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.269333,
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          69.203357
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 72.199997,
        "volume": 66100,
        "typical_volume": 24545.0,
        "trend": 69.499083,
        "fair_value": 66.268616,
        "relative_strength": -3.293218,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.928117,
        "energy": 42.203173,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.229999,
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          69.380986
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 73.610001,
        "volume": 23600,
        "typical_volume": 24390.0,
        "trend": 69.54675,
        "fair_value": 66.338272,
        "relative_strength": -4.407177,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.398887,
        "energy": 54.014489,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}