{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1505e9a9-8a98-4c67-8820-c70ad33c8a69", "symbol": "WRAP", "name": "Wrap Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 27.304, "architecture_energy": 36.698, "architecture_maturity": 19.154, "architecture_confidence": 49.817, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.5, "rotation_up": 53.2, "upward_expansion": 48.6, "deceleration": 36.16, "rotation_down": 18.9, "downward_expansion": 13.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.891333, 1.770364, 1.627381, 1.609591 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.87, "trend_reference": 1.678, "distance_from_trend": 0.114422, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.971827, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.051641, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.872593, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.187454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.114422, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128236, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.051641, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188294, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.158726, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185067, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.292153, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4498963, "relative_activity": 0.771144, "balance": 4.292153, "dry_up": 0.864016, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.182995, "annualized_volatility": 0.963801, "from_high_reference": -0.421053, "from_low_reference": 0.798077 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.678, "fair_value_reference": 1.971827, "structural_low": 1.04, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.166794, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.146302, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.081731, "worst_return": -0.239837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.079245, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.139184, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.54359, "worst_return": -0.119691, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.436293, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.409811, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.092308, "worst_return": -0.569811, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 1.293333, 1.326, 1.40319, 1.530172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.46, "volume": 75503358, "typical_volume": 5081234.05, "trend": 1.753333, "fair_value": 1.970994, "relative_strength": 11.085719, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.990246, "energy": 23.007581, "activity_lines": [ 1.684667, 1.523273, 1.497667, 1.575677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.05, "volume": 10174962, "typical_volume": 5498507.05, "trend": 1.745667, "fair_value": 1.972532, "relative_strength": -3.718311, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.207347, "energy": 37.972101, "activity_lines": [ 1.861333, 1.63, 1.549524, 1.594817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.7, "volume": 3462122, "typical_volume": 5606172.9, "trend": 1.73, "fair_value": 1.971571, "relative_strength": -18.86319, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.658378, "energy": 35.074184, "activity_lines": [ 1.872, 1.662909, 1.566476, 1.591871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.84, "volume": 2027108, "typical_volume": 5657055.1, "trend": 1.705333, "fair_value": 1.970865, "relative_strength": -12.796137, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.814129, "energy": 36.117242, "activity_lines": [ 1.898667, 1.717364, 1.59619, 1.598968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.87, "volume": 4498963, "typical_volume": 5834139.55, "trend": 1.678, "fair_value": 1.971827, "relative_strength": -15.872593, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.303564, "energy": 36.697844, "activity_lines": [ 1.891333, 1.770364, 1.627381, 1.609591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }