{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1507f9e5-05a5-432c-91e5-e8a952e1c1ac", "symbol": "300917", "name": "Shenzhen SDG Service Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.17, "architecture_energy": 44.507, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 66.801, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.14, "rotation_up": 26.43, "upward_expansion": 18.62, "deceleration": 66.91, "rotation_down": 46.96, "downward_expansion": 70.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.026, 24.869637, 26.942859, 28.941554 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.1, "trend_reference": 32.005556, "distance_from_trend": -0.184517, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.362941, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.301447, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.881503, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.342254, "excess_performance": -0.349654, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184517, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137354, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.301447, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226719, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318815, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002553, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.342254, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.59845, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27901340, "relative_activity": 1.304164, "balance": 0.59845, "dry_up": 1.51601, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10479, "annualized_volatility": 0.383236, "from_high_reference": -0.492864, "from_low_reference": 0.178862 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.005556, "fair_value_reference": 37.362941, "structural_low": 22.139999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.0097, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.005872, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.437567, "worst_return": -0.240082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.000245, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.108012, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.334902, "worst_return": -0.256996, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.000691, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.08857, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.288691, "worst_return": -0.257178, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.737345, "energy": 78.42695, "activity_lines": [ 24.103333, 25.512014, 28.188307, 30.445538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.620001, "volume": 33554695, "typical_volume": 21003187.9, "trend": 32.88763, "fair_value": 37.340195, "relative_strength": -37.888865, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.966467, "energy": 65.87244, "activity_lines": [ 23.846667, 24.876706, 27.571031, 29.81019 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.75, "volume": 38408224, "typical_volume": 21717020.1, "trend": 32.426236, "fair_value": 37.357609, "relative_strength": -30.221108, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.652808, "energy": 57.124474, "activity_lines": [ 24.427334, 24.802934, 27.219559, 29.349698 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.1, "volume": 27901340, "typical_volume": 21394047.0, "trend": 32.005556, "fair_value": 37.362941, "relative_strength": -31.881503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.169842, "energy": 44.506502, "activity_lines": [ 25.026, 24.869637, 26.942859, 28.941554 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }