{ "ticker": { "uuid": "152a1219-a2d7-4dcb-8ff2-f01a23342e7c", "symbol": "RAJRATAN", "name": "Rajratan Global Wire Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.231, "architecture_energy": 78.92, "architecture_maturity": 20.229, "architecture_confidence": 83.026, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.9, "rotation_up": 80.72, "upward_expansion": 94.96, "deceleration": 39.69, "rotation_down": 10.25, "downward_expansion": 16.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 501.447054, 482.969526, 459.557451, 445.043022 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 525.0, "trend_reference": 436.460634, "distance_from_trend": 0.202858, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 511.308521, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.026777, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 26.387211, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117854, "excess_performance": 0.161563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.202858, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010649, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.026777, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.198247, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.263872, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126094, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117854, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.600149, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1542738, "relative_activity": 2.361677, "balance": 9.600149, "dry_up": 2.953375, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071687, "annualized_volatility": 0.347249, "from_high_reference": -0.069066, "from_low_reference": 0.718213 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 436.460634, "fair_value_reference": 511.308521, "structural_low": 323.899994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.064966, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.077023, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.314684, "worst_return": -0.262789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.0248, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000782, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.416668, "worst_return": -0.179978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.038616, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.045531, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.696995, "worst_return": -0.076517, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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562375.9, "trend": 433.348968, "fair_value": 514.180646, "relative_strength": 23.254183, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.033357, "energy": 72.895907, "activity_lines": [ 477.294316, 462.509311, 444.03549, 435.219448 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 495.0, "volume": 1024075, "typical_volume": 595873.55, "trend": 434.385634, "fair_value": 512.654782, "relative_strength": 21.099329, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.293916, "energy": 75.512436, "activity_lines": [ 486.478963, 470.774418, 450.671113, 439.196934 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 525.0, "volume": 1542738, "typical_volume": 653238.35, "trend": 436.460634, "fair_value": 511.308521, "relative_strength": 26.387211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.230996, "energy": 78.920352, "activity_lines": [ 501.447054, 482.969526, 459.557451, 445.043022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }