{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "152e8794-b852-4c07-961e-32690a9f2c66",
    "symbol": "GRE",
    "name": "Amundi MSCI Greece UCITS ETF Dist",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.759,
    "architecture_energy": 70.762,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.338,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.005,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.45,
        "rotation_up": 70.19,
        "upward_expansion": 88.27,
        "deceleration": 52.9,
        "rotation_down": 19.47,
        "downward_expansion": 12.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.861,
        2.816755,
        2.708269,
        2.632326
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.938,
    "trend_reference": 2.561383,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.147036,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.816463,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.617429,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.387119,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.115414,
    "excess_performance": 0.062102,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147036,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069438,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.617429,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150266,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133871,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048914,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115414,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.080103,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 922748,
      "relative_activity": 0.630898,
      "balance": 2.080103,
      "dry_up": 0.744143,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035136,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.251015,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011606,
      "from_low_reference": 0.399892
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.561383,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.816463,
      "structural_low": 2.163,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.017624,
        "positive_rate": 0.648649,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.648649,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015184,
        "regime_survival": 0.72973,
        "best_return": 0.121967,
        "worst_return": -0.118989,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.040601,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021948,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.267312,
        "worst_return": -0.059501,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.117875,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.102395,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.356775,
        "worst_return": -0.143564,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.277018,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.209091,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.605761,
        "worst_return": -0.071288,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
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        "return": 0.0436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.024641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.812,
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        "typical_volume": 1748627.2,
        "trend": 2.525967,
        "fair_value": 1.795559,
        "relative_strength": 13.698948,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.887,
        "volume": 772289,
        "typical_volume": 1610498.25,
        "trend": 2.544067,
        "fair_value": 1.805753,
        "relative_strength": 14.437696,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.986982,
        "energy": 68.138907,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2.673833,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.938,
        "volume": 922748,
        "typical_volume": 1462594.05,
        "trend": 2.561383,
        "fair_value": 1.816463,
        "relative_strength": 13.387119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.758816,
        "energy": 70.762145,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2.632326
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}