{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "152f3a86-b61f-4dfe-a70a-262248ed2ea0",
    "symbol": "A1TT34",
    "name": "The Allstate Corporation",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.141,
    "architecture_energy": 74.029,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.836,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.502,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.82,
        "rotation_up": 86.53,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 57.6,
        "rotation_down": 9.21,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.904,
        53.946545,
        50.205481,
        48.648052
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 58.139999,
    "trend_reference": 46.858278,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.240763,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.792948,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.425246,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.42826,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.289067,
    "excess_performance": 0.346115,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.240763,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041036,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.425246,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297924,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204283,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.397764,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.289067,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.524413,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 576,
      "relative_activity": 1.007257,
      "balance": 1.524413,
      "dry_up": 2.214304,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046352,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.28025,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.421792
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.858278,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.792948,
      "structural_low": 40.892059,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.021582,
        "positive_rate": 0.652174,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.652174,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017128,
        "regime_survival": 0.73913,
        "best_return": 0.167697,
        "worst_return": -0.092463,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.049136,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.053767,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.278587,
        "worst_return": -0.092879,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.052588,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004594,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.489266,
        "worst_return": -0.157742,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.014914,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.10173,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.744549,
        "worst_return": -0.043963,
        "sufficient": false
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
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        "return": 0.029378,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 843.3,
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        "relative_strength": -19.348172,
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      },
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 880.5,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 897.25,
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        "relative_strength": -17.722299,
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        "energy": 76.680446,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 721.9,
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        "relative_strength": -8.109372,
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        "energy": 40.826083,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 720.35,
        "trend": 44.953467,
        "fair_value": 39.124353,
        "relative_strength": -8.762233,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -51.108806,
        "energy": 34.837999,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -1.201458,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "direction": -1.467542,
        "energy": 4.829672,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 51.5,
        "volume": 1703,
        "typical_volume": 706.9,
        "trend": 45.128922,
        "fair_value": 39.488123,
        "relative_strength": 5.687968,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 61.404052,
        "energy": 53.314015,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 54.759998,
        "volume": 493,
        "typical_volume": 559.45,
        "trend": 45.435623,
        "fair_value": 39.702768,
        "relative_strength": 11.73586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.948131,
        "energy": 96.898197,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.206666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 53.150002,
        "volume": 894,
        "typical_volume": 565.3,
        "trend": 45.672115,
        "fair_value": 39.91908,
        "relative_strength": 6.438683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.631687,
        "energy": 93.732494,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 52.700001,
        "volume": 2231,
        "typical_volume": 615.7,
        "trend": 45.861514,
        "fair_value": 40.121928,
        "relative_strength": 8.243461,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.44595,
        "energy": 88.637772,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.688,
          49.827805,
          47.467712,
          46.662856
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.049999,
        "volume": 152,
        "typical_volume": 437.8,
        "trend": 46.129246,
        "fair_value": 40.337821,
        "relative_strength": 12.946005,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.048205,
        "energy": 93.119075,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.768,
          51.148098,
          48.292635,
          47.255661
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.040001,
        "volume": 2106,
        "typical_volume": 543.1,
        "trend": 46.468688,
        "fair_value": 40.558225,
        "relative_strength": 12.579957,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.726488,
        "energy": 79.469864,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.637334,
          52.454909,
          49.171558,
          47.895065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.139999,
        "volume": 576,
        "typical_volume": 571.85,
        "trend": 46.858278,
        "fair_value": 40.792948,
        "relative_strength": 20.42826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.140522,
        "energy": 74.029222,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.904,
          53.946545,
          50.205481,
          48.648052
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}