{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "15304456-e56d-43ff-974a-23f03b3d05ba",
    "symbol": "VJPAN",
    "name": "Vanguard Funds Public Limited Company - Vanguard FTSE Japan UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.155,
    "architecture_energy": 31.275,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.394,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.186,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.61,
        "rotation_up": 35.4,
        "upward_expansion": 58.23,
        "deceleration": 88.16,
        "rotation_down": 26.51,
        "downward_expansion": 19.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        832.289999,
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        825.088524,
        815.429097
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 850.469971,
    "trend_reference": 803.366333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.058633,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 662.192053,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.284325,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.051979,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.079277,
    "excess_performance": 0.133943,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058633,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035377,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284325,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005381,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07052,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084731,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079277,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.475882,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 125216,
      "relative_activity": 7.62494,
      "balance": 5.475882,
      "dry_up": 2.163757,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023951,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184318,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005298,
      "from_low_reference": 0.183773
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 803.366333,
      "fair_value_reference": 662.192053,
      "structural_low": 749.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.025337,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009214,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.094767,
        "worst_return": -0.000222,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.059568,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.050165,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.119606,
        "worst_return": 0.011547,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.154703,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.096261,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.239471,
        "worst_return": 0.018926,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.260559,
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        "best_return": 0.209643,
        "worst_return": 0.209643,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005861,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.014115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.113546,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027708,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.001727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 651.420899,
        "relative_strength": 5.053902,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 7.334374,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 813.309998,
        "volume": 626,
        "typical_volume": 10491.1,
        "trend": 795.205332,
        "fair_value": 655.680899,
        "relative_strength": 2.988326,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.989083,
        "energy": 41.515975,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 822.390015,
        "volume": 9492,
        "typical_volume": 10887.7,
        "trend": 797.851666,
        "fair_value": 657.820643,
        "relative_strength": 4.481546,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.974832,
        "energy": 30.397802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 823.210022,
        "volume": 6798,
        "typical_volume": 10301.0,
        "trend": 800.492,
        "fair_value": 659.951733,
        "relative_strength": 3.680046,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.680666,
        "energy": 22.985573,
        "activity_lines": [
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          821.175861,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 850.469971,
        "volume": 125216,
        "typical_volume": 16421.9,
        "trend": 803.366333,
        "fair_value": 662.192053,
        "relative_strength": 7.051979,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.155372,
        "energy": 31.27532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}