{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1537d749-cef2-47b6-b2ee-67684a20d45e", "symbol": "BEIA-B", "name": "Beijer Alma AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 49.3, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.099, "architecture_energy": 36.592, "architecture_maturity": 35.941, "architecture_confidence": 62.794, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.88, "rotation_up": 46.17, "upward_expansion": 73.17, "deceleration": 63.37, "rotation_down": 25.62, "downward_expansion": 8.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 296.5, 295.572727, 295.054401, 286.01264 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 300.0, "trend_reference": 276.464743, "distance_from_trend": 0.085129, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 217.012231, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.382411, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.23479, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.108549, "excess_performance": 0.047055, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085129, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015439, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.382411, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048598, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022348, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079391, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108549, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.751546, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120718, "relative_activity": 0.741244, "balance": 1.751546, "dry_up": 0.876866, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043974, "annualized_volatility": 0.338074, "from_high_reference": -0.047619, "from_low_reference": 0.376217 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 276.464743, "fair_value_reference": 217.012231, "structural_low": 217.988811, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.029166, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.054317, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.259779, "worst_return": -0.15122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.069761, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.051629, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.463656, "worst_return": -0.191226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.071138, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.050398, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.497128, "worst_return": -0.163839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-4.626933, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.086832, "energy": 25.234569, "activity_lines": [ 292.533333, 296.027273, 288.700709, 280.583935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 296.0, "volume": 166891, "typical_volume": 189312.9, "trend": 275.780147, "fair_value": 214.74188, "relative_strength": 0.93683, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.895591, "energy": 26.076544, "activity_lines": [ 293.566667, 295.554545, 290.586837, 281.905638 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 293.5, "volume": 159029, "typical_volume": 185423.55, "trend": 275.830951, "fair_value": 215.450653, "relative_strength": -1.390864, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.56789, "energy": 23.852942, "activity_lines": [ 293.333333, 294.7, 292.000533, 283.048855 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 298.0, "volume": 124583, "typical_volume": 166130.7, "trend": 276.230377, "fair_value": 216.187047, "relative_strength": -1.134346, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.287178, "energy": 24.02455, "activity_lines": [ 294.666667, 294.827273, 293.57544, 284.479116 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 300.0, "volume": 120718, "typical_volume": 162858.65, "trend": 276.464743, "fair_value": 217.012231, "relative_strength": -2.23479, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.098611, "energy": 36.592323, "activity_lines": [ 296.5, 295.572727, 295.054401, 286.01264 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }