{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1538b502-ae1a-4470-a741-286f13c4e038", "symbol": "688501", "name": "Qingdao Daneng Environmental Protection Equipment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.345, "architecture_energy": 71.36, "architecture_maturity": 51.902, "architecture_confidence": 90.353, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.96, "rotation_up": 14.39, "upward_expansion": 15.7, "deceleration": 40.36, "rotation_down": 68.23, "downward_expansion": 89.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.161221, 12.789663, 14.123347, 15.131241 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.18, "trend_reference": 16.449788, "distance_from_trend": -0.198774, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.859292, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049013, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.358782, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.306956, "excess_performance": -0.263752, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.198774, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091002, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.049013, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.324595, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.253588, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093017, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.306956, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.685173, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19846272, "relative_activity": 1.353201, "balance": 0.685173, "dry_up": 1.091514, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127706, "annualized_volatility": 0.465283, "from_high_reference": -0.428627, "from_low_reference": 0.272375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.449788, "fair_value_reference": 13.859292, "structural_low": 10.358582, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.053055, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.020653, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.289049, "worst_return": -0.155035, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.06022, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.008137, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.25562, "worst_return": -0.244176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.013664, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.017748, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.038585, "worst_return": -0.141646, "sufficient": 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.276293, "energy": 86.363013, "activity_lines": [ 13.008495, 13.949718, 15.197349, 16.06832 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.967088, "volume": 14991407, "typical_volume": 14480554.2, "trend": 16.858166, "fair_value": 13.882576, "relative_strength": -36.945965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.339285, "energy": 90.951739, "activity_lines": [ 12.143532, 13.279408, 14.704183, 15.676367 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.855365, "volume": 15619164, "typical_volume": 14516164.15, "trend": 16.626654, "fair_value": 13.864375, "relative_strength": -31.564491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.990854, "energy": 83.886485, "activity_lines": [ 11.854899, 12.867252, 14.334517, 15.353606 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.18, "volume": 19846272, "typical_volume": 14666168.35, "trend": 16.449788, "fair_value": 13.859292, "relative_strength": -25.358782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.344574, "energy": 71.360399, "activity_lines": [ 12.161221, 12.789663, 14.123347, 15.131241 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }