{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1545af99-4129-4e7a-a4c7-f626bcadc753",
    "symbol": "MMSI",
    "name": "Merit Medical Systems Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 54.656,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 65.954,
    "architecture_energy": 84.358,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.439,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.537,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.86,
        "rotation_up": 84.15,
        "upward_expansion": 70.98,
        "deceleration": 18.03,
        "rotation_down": 16.1,
        "downward_expansion": 26.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        81.974667,
        77.276182,
        72.162762,
        71.445226
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 89.04,
    "trend_reference": 72.361667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.230486,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 83.653109,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.064396,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.956373,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.079273,
    "excess_performance": -0.108181,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230486,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055528,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064396,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.338539,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009564,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.382102,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079273,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 8.334925,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7384576,
      "relative_activity": 1.819554,
      "balance": 8.334925,
      "dry_up": 1.327897,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058179,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.33123,
      "from_high_reference": -0.060246,
      "from_low_reference": 0.490459
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 72.361667,
      "fair_value_reference": 83.653109,
      "structural_low": 59.74,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.052415,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028996,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.061234,
        "worst_return": -0.085282,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.039942,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055262,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.034462,
        "worst_return": -0.207764,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.134952,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.050773,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.202337,
        "worst_return": -0.157624,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.187014,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.070656,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.272426,
        "worst_return": 0.101603,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051822,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.139577,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.187683,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.135468,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.084036,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.069739,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.110496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.070069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.109818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.203406,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1440594.45,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3872128.2,
        "trend": 72.756667,
        "fair_value": 83.433494,
        "relative_strength": -15.694831,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 12.421586,
        "energy": 31.17447,
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          72.510667,
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          67.937,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.32,
        "volume": 3178904,
        "typical_volume": 3842455.65,
        "trend": 72.321,
        "fair_value": 83.43875,
        "relative_strength": -13.397975,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.927811,
        "energy": 47.737407,
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          73.452667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 85.01,
        "volume": 7431280,
        "typical_volume": 3951872.6,
        "trend": 72.273,
        "fair_value": 83.522788,
        "relative_strength": -1.026457,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.762264,
        "energy": 72.389256,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.484667,
          74.012,
          70.209381,
          70.363484
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 89.04,
        "volume": 7384576,
        "typical_volume": 4058454.25,
        "trend": 72.361667,
        "fair_value": 83.653109,
        "relative_strength": -0.956373,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 65.954245,
        "energy": 84.358395,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}