{ "ticker": { "uuid": "155e6c0f-9f4c-41b0-b018-ca8eebb40caf", "symbol": "GTV", "name": "Green Tech Ventures Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.815, "architecture_energy": 10.035, "architecture_maturity": 28.14, "architecture_confidence": 83.709, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 67.8, "rotation_up": 21.77, "upward_expansion": 21.67, "deceleration": 48.12, "rotation_down": 27.28, "downward_expansion": 41.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.029333, 0.028909, 0.02881, 0.030129 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.03, "trend_reference": 0.032333, "distance_from_trend": -0.072165, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.104359, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.712531, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -42.053175, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.25, "excess_performance": -0.442325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072165, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101852, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.712531, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035856, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.420532, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149711, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.860316, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15916500, "relative_activity": 0.747522, "balance": 1.860316, "dry_up": 1.614606, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.358974, "annualized_volatility": 1.415835, "from_high_reference": -0.666667, "from_low_reference": 0.5 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.032333, "fair_value_reference": 0.104359, "structural_low": 0.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.038514, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.034907, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.583333, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.086957, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.106136, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.683522, "worst_return": -0.533333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.35, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.240635, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.683522, "worst_return": -0.6, "sufficient": true }, { 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0.028714, 0.030473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.03, "volume": 1491800, "typical_volume": 20675495.0, "trend": 0.032667, "fair_value": 0.105321, "relative_strength": -43.95383, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.328932, "energy": 18.732784, "activity_lines": [ 0.028667, 0.028727, 0.028762, 0.030301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.03, "volume": 15916500, "typical_volume": 21292360.0, "trend": 0.032333, "fair_value": 0.104359, "relative_strength": -42.053175, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.814922, "energy": 10.035244, "activity_lines": [ 0.029333, 0.028909, 0.02881, 0.030129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }