{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "15622e0d-8905-451d-b1c1-2b1705939e9d",
    "symbol": "HATHWAY",
    "name": "Hathway Cable and Datacom Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 57.998,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.592,
    "architecture_energy": 15.994,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.632,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.064,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 63.92,
        "rotation_up": 20.07,
        "upward_expansion": 45.82,
        "deceleration": 90.59,
        "rotation_down": 35.44,
        "downward_expansion": 25.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.870667,
        11.056545,
        11.011381,
        10.894903
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.91,
    "trend_reference": 10.827333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.007635,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.532372,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.340083,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.355772,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.027629,
    "excess_performance": 0.01608,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007635,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047923,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.340083,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00319,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083558,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042796,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027629,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.430321,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5862662,
      "relative_activity": 0.580503,
      "balance": 2.430321,
      "dry_up": 0.716902,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070507,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.373866,
      "from_high_reference": -0.28459,
      "from_low_reference": 0.245434
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.827333,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.532372,
      "structural_low": 8.76,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.031847,
        "positive_rate": 0.380952,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.380952,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040452,
        "regime_survival": 0.52381,
        "best_return": 0.101932,
        "worst_return": -0.207619,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.08359,
        "positive_rate": 0.111111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.111111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.129322,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.116953,
        "worst_return": -0.251445,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.217911,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.24628,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.023587,
        "worst_return": -0.341815,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.32629,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.383025,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.047887,
        "worst_return": -0.4,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.036855,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.15,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.058518,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.03274,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.193955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013487,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.112546,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "direction": 22.197838,
        "energy": 36.022598,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 11879789.75,
        "trend": 11.091667,
        "fair_value": 16.68891,
        "relative_strength": -6.978854,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.43116,
        "energy": 41.18568,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 6018172,
        "typical_volume": 11302174.9,
        "trend": 11.037667,
        "fair_value": 16.661538,
        "relative_strength": -8.415891,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.244705,
        "energy": 40.742365,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.06,
        "volume": 13210071,
        "typical_volume": 11513064.35,
        "trend": 10.992,
        "fair_value": 16.634038,
        "relative_strength": -7.947634,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.52301,
        "energy": 15.033852,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.264,
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          11.006952,
          10.917505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.76,
        "volume": 5532324,
        "typical_volume": 10843829.85,
        "trend": 10.931,
        "fair_value": 16.60141,
        "relative_strength": -7.737751,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.438998,
        "energy": 6.495016,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.030667,
          11.153818,
          11.006619,
          10.902538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.77,
        "volume": 4355736,
        "typical_volume": 10538035.45,
        "trend": 10.867333,
        "fair_value": 16.568205,
        "relative_strength": -9.371089,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.093784,
        "energy": 15.514201,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.895333,
          11.098182,
          11.004524,
          10.892151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.91,
        "volume": 5862662,
        "typical_volume": 10099282.3,
        "trend": 10.827333,
        "fair_value": 16.532372,
        "relative_strength": -8.355772,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.592008,
        "energy": 15.994001,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.870667,
          11.056545,
          11.011381,
          10.894903
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}