{ "ticker": { "uuid": "156e9dcc-8317-48f6-96f0-6e351e9e8a2f", "symbol": "300541", "name": "Beijing Advanced Digital Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.755, "architecture_energy": 43.629, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.105, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.74, "rotation_up": 27.76, "upward_expansion": 19.99, "deceleration": 46.82, "rotation_down": 40.53, "downward_expansion": 69.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.359333, 10.17269, 10.758617, 11.662468 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.77, "trend_reference": 12.914927, "distance_from_trend": -0.166081, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.531937, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.140596, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.695534, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.334363, "excess_performance": -0.341763, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166081, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110533, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.140596, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171867, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.266955, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045257, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.334363, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.324741, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70951100, "relative_activity": 1.466122, "balance": 1.324741, "dry_up": 1.424758, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079491, "annualized_volatility": 0.402155, "from_high_reference": -0.416892, "from_low_reference": 0.156821 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.914927, "fair_value_reference": 12.531937, "structural_low": 9.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.019335, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.024028, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.540865, "worst_return": -0.177636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.036165, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.024204, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.478732, "worst_return": -0.276008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.075405, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.008608, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.678487, "worst_return": -0.320717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.476329, "energy": 65.64887, "activity_lines": [ 9.879691, 10.141572, 11.208586, 12.205572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.83, "volume": 90361124, "typical_volume": 50876930.05, "trend": 13.19126, "fair_value": 12.524684, "relative_strength": -32.14195, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.717832, "energy": 63.01754, "activity_lines": [ 9.860679, 10.006823, 10.979358, 11.97919 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.57, "volume": 61996214, "typical_volume": 49296551.45, "trend": 13.057927, "fair_value": 12.528617, "relative_strength": -25.075575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.735034, "energy": 50.953573, "activity_lines": [ 10.112667, 10.057657, 10.848273, 11.810076 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.77, "volume": 70951100, "typical_volume": 48393707.15, "trend": 12.914927, "fair_value": 12.531937, "relative_strength": -26.695534, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.754605, "energy": 43.629086, "activity_lines": [ 10.359333, 10.17269, 10.758617, 11.662468 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }