{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "15ad2e41-5c80-454b-98c9-49845fac8b19",
    "symbol": "DX2E",
    "name": "Xtrackers S&P Global Infrastructure Swap UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 62.999,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 32.24,
    "architecture_energy": 22.751,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.1,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.776,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.97,
        "rotation_up": 35.14,
        "upward_expansion": 64.16,
        "deceleration": 84.91,
        "rotation_down": 27.56,
        "downward_expansion": 16.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        71.203999,
        70.669142,
        70.350666
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 69.949997,
    "trend_reference": 69.610666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.004875,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.304915,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.199727,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.365849,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.042163,
    "excess_performance": -0.022477,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004875,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037773,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.199727,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021448,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033658,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091238,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042163,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.87866,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12065,
      "relative_activity": 0.893816,
      "balance": 0.87866,
      "dry_up": 1.135587,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018189,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.109659,
      "from_high_reference": -0.048645,
      "from_low_reference": 0.157729
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 69.610666,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.304915,
      "structural_low": 66.769997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.006118,
        "positive_rate": 0.675676,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.675676,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005862,
        "regime_survival": 0.72973,
        "best_return": 0.084365,
        "worst_return": -0.093512,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.052464,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.049865,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 15489.7,
        "trend": 66.61989,
        "fair_value": 56.314754,
        "relative_strength": 8.044548,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 15585.55,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 68.57,
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        "typical_volume": 16247.8,
        "trend": 66.999556,
        "fair_value": 56.563024,
        "relative_strength": 6.70174,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 20.856734,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 16585.15,
        "trend": 66.880666,
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        "direction": 43.72849,
        "energy": 24.610475,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 15981.0,
        "trend": 67.077,
        "fair_value": 56.833889,
        "relative_strength": 1.938357,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 69.580002,
        "volume": 3287,
        "typical_volume": 15340.05,
        "trend": 67.305667,
        "fair_value": 56.966613,
        "relative_strength": 4.159265,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 14705.1,
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        "relative_strength": 5.198738,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 4.562135,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 68.027333,
        "fair_value": 57.404178,
        "relative_strength": 7.760413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 81.031774,
        "energy": 71.539332,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 71.690002,
        "volume": 306,
        "typical_volume": 13108.45,
        "trend": 68.298333,
        "fair_value": 57.556485,
        "relative_strength": 2.153481,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 70.203689,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 71.470001,
        "volume": 22208,
        "typical_volume": 13588.85,
        "trend": 68.591,
        "fair_value": 57.708985,
        "relative_strength": 4.446206,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.877995,
        "energy": 73.792786,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 71.839996,
        "volume": 32198,
        "typical_volume": 14418.9,
        "trend": 68.879,
        "fair_value": 57.858761,
        "relative_strength": 5.689289,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.917474,
        "energy": 76.199574,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.691333,
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          70.443905,
          69.990193
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 72.5,
        "volume": 7851,
        "typical_volume": 13910.95,
        "trend": 69.191333,
        "fair_value": 58.012415,
        "relative_strength": 5.221752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.081174,
        "energy": 71.42236,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.992,
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          70.668286,
          70.223806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 70.629997,
        "volume": 9200,
        "typical_volume": 13747.9,
        "trend": 69.422333,
        "fair_value": 58.161806,
        "relative_strength": 0.275789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.347375,
        "energy": 42.428426,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.553332,
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          70.702,
          70.316623
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.949997,
        "volume": 12065,
        "typical_volume": 13498.3,
        "trend": 69.610666,
        "fair_value": 58.304915,
        "relative_strength": -3.365849,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.240388,
        "energy": 22.750916,
        "activity_lines": [
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          70.669142,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}