{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "15cafee2-e048-4e1a-bc88-c3de34f67bd1",
    "symbol": "VLO",
    "name": "Valero Energy Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.188,
    "architecture_energy": 84.543,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.943,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.953,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.54,
        "rotation_up": 78.92,
        "upward_expansion": 96.49,
        "deceleration": 42.0,
        "rotation_down": 9.03,
        "downward_expansion": 20.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        302.91564,
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        259.557693
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 298.31,
    "trend_reference": 241.196535,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.236792,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 156.886719,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.901436,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 28.900827,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.479153,
    "excess_performance": 0.353528,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.236792,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173657,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.901436,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.228304,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.289008,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053873,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.479153,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.540213,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16426768,
      "relative_activity": 1.091964,
      "balance": 1.540213,
      "dry_up": 0.965645,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070541,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.340581,
      "from_high_reference": -0.064907,
      "from_low_reference": 1.321787
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 156.886719,
      "structural_low": 193.612216,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.046401,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.202629,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 298.31,
        "volume": 16426768,
        "typical_volume": 15043330.1,
        "trend": 241.196535,
        "fair_value": 156.886719,
        "relative_strength": 28.900827,
        "stage": 2,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}