{ "ticker": { "uuid": "15d2c305-e39e-442b-bbca-59ff3e3176fa", "symbol": "STJ", "name": "St. James's Place plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.837, "architecture_energy": 67.465, "architecture_maturity": 40.38, "architecture_confidence": 88.298, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.48, "rotation_up": 13.35, "upward_expansion": 17.13, "deceleration": 34.99, "rotation_down": 69.53, "downward_expansion": 88.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 1094.715773, 1128.620375, 1160.360645, 1189.444529 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1147.0, "trend_reference": 1246.395842, "distance_from_trend": -0.079747, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 948.898243, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.20877, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.332973, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.233215, "excess_performance": -0.28445, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079747, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05319, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.20877, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052612, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17333, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048813, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.233215, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.453185, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15724725, "relative_activity": 1.363449, "balance": 0.453185, "dry_up": 1.406241, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072724, "annualized_volatility": 0.422899, "from_high_reference": -0.271907, "from_low_reference": 0.110077 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1246.395842, "fair_value_reference": 948.898243, 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1173.434593, 1192.530532, 1224.625963 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1065.3408, "volume": 14968515, "typical_volume": 10601026.15, "trend": 1269.005499, "fair_value": 946.385041, "relative_strength": -23.013513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.498726, "energy": 51.856522, "activity_lines": [ 1123.852693, 1152.536507, 1178.610344, 1210.771199 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1047.9333, "volume": 20784868, "typical_volume": 11205586.45, "trend": 1256.491183, "fair_value": 947.291452, "relative_strength": -24.665755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.122921, "energy": 76.820484, "activity_lines": [ 1087.920893, 1130.103589, 1164.189598, 1196.508476 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1147.0, "volume": 15724725, "typical_volume": 11533049.45, "trend": 1246.395842, "fair_value": 948.898243, "relative_strength": -17.332973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.837165, "energy": 67.465058, "activity_lines": [ 1094.715773, 1128.620375, 1160.360645, 1189.444529 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }