{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "15d7cf99-3fff-40a2-8274-0fde8cad592a",
    "symbol": "LAGR-B",
    "name": "Lagercrantz Group AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.941,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 0.629,
    "architecture_energy": 22.434,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.5,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.176,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.46,
        "rotation_up": 14.35,
        "upward_expansion": 42.56,
        "deceleration": 85.87,
        "rotation_down": 46.16,
        "downward_expansion": 36.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        229.893332,
        236.112726,
        240.481427,
        235.219998
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 236.199997,
    "trend_reference": 226.993332,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.040559,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 191.193819,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.235396,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.635345,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.067812,
    "excess_performance": 0.006318,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040559,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044192,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.235396,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114379,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056353,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068766,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067812,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.426841,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 881176,
      "relative_activity": 0.977852,
      "balance": 0.426841,
      "dry_up": 1.271873,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.060249,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.341782,
      "from_high_reference": -0.114693,
      "from_low_reference": 0.275378
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 226.993332,
      "fair_value_reference": 191.193819,
      "structural_low": 185.199997,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.061596,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059174,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.228155,
        "worst_return": -0.112203,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.164398,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.146134,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.211651,
        "worst_return": -0.027654,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.124278,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.120373,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.062963,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.269732,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.175965,
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        "worst_return": -0.117098,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.291056,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.190815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.071592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.136276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.07992,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1640885,
        "typical_volume": 918094.25,
        "trend": 224.893332,
        "fair_value": 189.12933,
        "relative_strength": -5.384785,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 21.334777,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 225.0,
        "volume": 1159999,
        "typical_volume": 920821.4,
        "trend": 225.346665,
        "fair_value": 189.787231,
        "relative_strength": -7.778623,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": -3.114502,
        "energy": 17.75902,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 224.0,
        "volume": 902455,
        "typical_volume": 907027.85,
        "trend": 226.073332,
        "fair_value": 190.435623,
        "relative_strength": -9.103859,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -6.892951,
        "energy": 26.665083,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 236.199997,
        "volume": 881176,
        "typical_volume": 901134.35,
        "trend": 226.993332,
        "fair_value": 191.193819,
        "relative_strength": -5.635345,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.629125,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}