{ "ticker": { "uuid": "15e2028a-2a55-481b-8c35-19ed310a4b48", "symbol": "300690", "name": "Shandong Shuangyi Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.557, "architecture_energy": 73.368, "architecture_maturity": 51.454, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.04, "rotation_up": 20.91, "upward_expansion": 16.1, "deceleration": 42.9, "rotation_down": 60.64, "downward_expansion": 87.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.826, 21.591924, 23.583393, 25.631671 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 21.48, "trend_reference": 28.212116, "distance_from_trend": -0.238625, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.665801, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092361, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.979706, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.317662, "excess_performance": -0.325062, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.238625, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097208, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092361, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.37784, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.329797, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114464, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.317662, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.380076, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16031935, "relative_activity": 0.644124, "balance": 0.380076, "dry_up": 0.590767, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091462, "annualized_volatility": 0.565555, "from_high_reference": -0.512704, "from_low_reference": 0.153598 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.212116, "fair_value_reference": 23.665801, "structural_low": 18.620001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.008216, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.009008, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.507992, "worst_return": -0.290984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.083283, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.078168, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.465424, "worst_return": -0.300844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.166994, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.086058, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.999076, "worst_return": -0.152252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -36.963888, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.011473, "energy": 87.111123, "activity_lines": [ 23.049183, 23.886343, 26.186935, 27.855336 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.98, "volume": 14056997, "typical_volume": 35581315.3, "trend": 29.332116, "fair_value": 23.563827, "relative_strength": -36.154469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.117659, "energy": 90.330034, "activity_lines": [ 21.950667, 22.979412, 25.392728, 27.226683 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.450001, "volume": 13792771, "typical_volume": 35464668.4, "trend": 28.939449, "fair_value": 23.58909, "relative_strength": -37.694784, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.667498, "energy": 90.308213, "activity_lines": [ 20.926, 22.149834, 24.607283, 26.589127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.219999, "volume": 14933993, "typical_volume": 31565446.2, "trend": 28.601116, "fair_value": 23.624505, "relative_strength": -30.668962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.376139, "energy": 80.377923, "activity_lines": [ 20.786667, 21.799482, 24.042267, 26.091098 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.48, "volume": 16031935, "typical_volume": 24889532.4, "trend": 28.212116, "fair_value": 23.665801, "relative_strength": -32.979706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.556943, "energy": 73.368148, "activity_lines": [ 20.826, 21.591924, 23.583393, 25.631671 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }