{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "15e45036-0110-4c82-bdb0-032d12a2a9f4",
    "symbol": "TRU",
    "name": "Thai Rung Union Car Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 19.147,
    "architecture_energy": 11.196,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.662,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.436,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.61,
        "rotation_up": 21.23,
        "upward_expansion": 44.9,
        "deceleration": 84.14,
        "rotation_down": 24.43,
        "downward_expansion": 22.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.794667,
        3.801818,
        3.803297,
        3.780774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3.8,
    "trend_reference": 3.749239,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013539,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.101275,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.225303,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.736126,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.026134,
    "excess_performance": -0.166191,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013539,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016595,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.225303,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037774,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117361,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07486,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026134,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.02154,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 31800,
      "relative_activity": 0.141321,
      "balance": 0.02154,
      "dry_up": 1.082904,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017004,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.087483,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040404,
      "from_low_reference": 0.287569
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.749239,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.101275,
      "structural_low": 3.552836,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.461538,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005999,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.257862,
        "worst_return": -0.030457,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01231,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.251572,
        "worst_return": -0.05036,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.06435,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.089448,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.220126,
        "worst_return": -0.008299,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.318421,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.451105,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.50437,
        "worst_return": -0.418228,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.029586,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.102409,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019108,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
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        "return": -0.018405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.257862,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.030457,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "fair_value": 3.097866,
        "relative_strength": -6.955764,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.485957,
        "energy": 37.458393,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.717006,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 3.096912,
        "relative_strength": -7.833716,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 387900.0,
        "trend": 3.678784,
        "fair_value": 3.095616,
        "relative_strength": -4.250146,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 3.86,
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        "typical_volume": 378300.0,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.637214,
        "energy": 67.26619,
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          3.730147,
          3.705251
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 401815.0,
        "trend": 3.684143,
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        "direction": 60.191723,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 361465.0,
        "trend": 3.688035,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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          3.751237,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 19800,
        "typical_volume": 333505.0,
        "trend": 3.691928,
        "fair_value": 3.090809,
        "relative_strength": -11.071501,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.52026,
        "energy": 39.307963,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 3.8,
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        "typical_volume": 317345.0,
        "trend": 3.697034,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -10.364726,
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        "energy": 26.168574,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3.84,
        "volume": 22100,
        "typical_volume": 214035.0,
        "trend": 3.711712,
        "fair_value": 3.091574,
        "relative_strength": -7.424738,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.735964,
        "energy": 27.512538,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.817333,
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          3.783244,
          3.753894
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.82,
        "volume": 10800,
        "typical_volume": 188225.0,
        "trend": 3.721244,
        "fair_value": 3.092802,
        "relative_strength": -11.605776,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.079099,
        "energy": 25.157302,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.818667,
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          3.790199,
          3.76088
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.8,
        "volume": 935400,
        "typical_volume": 225470.0,
        "trend": 3.728856,
        "fair_value": 3.094522,
        "relative_strength": -12.370156,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.255861,
        "energy": 24.63151,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.813333,
          3.817636,
          3.794603,
          3.765961
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.8,
        "volume": 217300,
        "typical_volume": 230320.0,
        "trend": 3.735841,
        "fair_value": 3.096242,
        "relative_strength": -13.196436,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.463846,
        "energy": 22.38972,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.809333,
          3.812364,
          3.798368,
          3.770551
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.8,
        "volume": 701800,
        "typical_volume": 252255.0,
        "trend": 3.740947,
        "fair_value": 3.097963,
        "relative_strength": -13.352818,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.470927,
        "energy": 17.261135,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.805333,
          3.809091,
          3.801493,
          3.77469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.78,
        "volume": 23800,
        "typical_volume": 237810.0,
        "trend": 3.74476,
        "fair_value": 3.099554,
        "relative_strength": -12.794348,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.92193,
        "energy": 15.101089,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.794667,
          3.803273,
          3.801715,
          3.77721
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.8,
        "volume": 31800,
        "typical_volume": 225020.0,
        "trend": 3.749239,
        "fair_value": 3.101275,
        "relative_strength": -11.736126,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.146856,
        "energy": 11.196427,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.794667,
          3.801818,
          3.803297,
          3.780774
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}