{ "ticker": { "uuid": "15e9f372-5764-4e71-9d07-fbb03999ba55", "symbol": "TFPM", "name": "Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.202, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -28.142, "architecture_energy": 20.435, "architecture_maturity": 40.654, "architecture_confidence": 56.806, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.07, "rotation_up": 26.21, "upward_expansion": 16.07, "deceleration": 61.38, "rotation_down": 32.7, "downward_expansion": 61.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.872667, 29.659636, 30.347887, 31.467945 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 32.62, "trend_reference": 33.018427, "distance_from_trend": -0.012067, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.413623, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.523329, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.799767, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.044456, "excess_performance": -0.170081, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012067, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030345, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.523329, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140577, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087998, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075621, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044456, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.939032, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2932878, "relative_activity": 0.99692, "balance": 0.939032, "dry_up": 0.799561, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093472, "annualized_volatility": 0.510256, "from_high_reference": -0.216266, "from_low_reference": 0.327331 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.018427, "fair_value_reference": 21.413623, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.544778, "energy": 41.607577, "activity_lines": [ 29.694667, 29.926416, 31.306099, 32.477842 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.36, "volume": 2360947, "typical_volume": 3178540.55, "trend": 33.438455, "fair_value": 21.08013, "relative_strength": -20.294897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.02403, "energy": 45.923673, "activity_lines": [ 28.901333, 29.364439, 30.787166, 32.070701 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.03, "volume": 2119922, "typical_volume": 3090891.2, "trend": 33.227004, "fair_value": 21.182548, "relative_strength": -15.002328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.947773, "energy": 40.526547, "activity_lines": [ 28.784667, 29.214406, 30.493302, 31.786285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.77, "volume": 1995286, "typical_volume": 2996994.1, "trend": 33.097254, "fair_value": 21.288006, "relative_strength": -16.722293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.816508, "energy": 46.413152, "activity_lines": [ 28.649333, 29.06964, 30.22047, 31.498736 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.62, "volume": 2932878, "typical_volume": 2941938.65, "trend": 33.018427, "fair_value": 21.413623, "relative_strength": -8.799767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.142309, "energy": 20.434914, "activity_lines": [ 29.872667, 29.659636, 30.347887, 31.467945 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }