{ "ticker": { "uuid": "15f07d47-aeac-4f5f-8d1a-8cc0a2d69bf7", "symbol": "LRE", "name": "Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd American Depositary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 68.564, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 5.79, "architecture_energy": 9.876, "architecture_maturity": 14.424, "architecture_confidence": 53.81, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.5, "rotation_up": 41.54, "upward_expansion": 38.88, "deceleration": 30.86, "rotation_down": 26.67, "downward_expansion": 18.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.334733, 1.329445, 1.31326, 1.314197 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.33, "trend_reference": 1.32299, "distance_from_trend": 0.005299, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.396417, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.445005, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.022779, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.090164, "excess_performance": -0.09729, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005299, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018454, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.445005, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034978, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.170228, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103138, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.090164, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.724422, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52990, "relative_activity": 0.411046, "balance": 1.724422, "dry_up": 0.276977, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108045, "annualized_volatility": 0.390266, "from_high_reference": -0.552189, "from_low_reference": 0.33 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.32299, "fair_value_reference": 2.396417, "structural_low": 1.14, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.09313, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.05656, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.218014, "worst_return": -0.22561, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.024993, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.059412, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.069767, "worst_return": -0.119754, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.058342, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.12561, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.058342, "worst_return": -0.058342, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 1.33099, "fair_value": 2.403574, "relative_strength": -17.880372, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.382439, "energy": 9.54895, "activity_lines": [ 1.33698, 1.328058, 1.310877, 1.314261 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.33, "volume": 52990, "typical_volume": 128914.95, "trend": 1.32299, "fair_value": 2.396417, "relative_strength": -17.022779, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.789921, "energy": 9.876134, "activity_lines": [ 1.334733, 1.329445, 1.31326, 1.314197 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }