{ "ticker": { "uuid": "15f4ea0c-b396-419d-a0c1-15a43b7792ea", "symbol": "600980", "name": "BGRIMM Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.356, "architecture_energy": 55.639, "architecture_maturity": 35.681, "architecture_confidence": 82.742, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.09, "rotation_up": 16.41, "upward_expansion": 8.64, "deceleration": 55.2, "rotation_down": 64.7, "downward_expansion": 81.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.768667, 18.249273, 19.671843, 20.602274 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.950001, "trend_reference": 21.866535, "distance_from_trend": -0.133379, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.003161, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.052593, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.934697, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.227477, "excess_performance": -0.184273, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133379, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058635, "read": "Falling" 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15.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.023748, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.026049, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.183579, "worst_return": -0.177588, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.099528, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.026811, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.193399, "worst_return": -0.070108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.106195, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.05465, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.174588, "worst_return": -0.008478, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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17.956666, 19.221085, 20.585167, 21.438485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.84, "volume": 18580390, "typical_volume": 13698833.05, "trend": 22.167868, "fair_value": 17.966406, "relative_strength": -23.711418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.107389, "energy": 86.737919, "activity_lines": [ 17.338667, 18.604784, 20.150472, 21.082192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.780001, "volume": 19028600, "typical_volume": 13439796.4, "trend": 22.000868, "fair_value": 17.98018, "relative_strength": -19.285391, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.957551, "energy": 81.047827, "activity_lines": [ 17.323334, 18.274591, 19.843253, 20.799104 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.950001, "volume": 17421231, "typical_volume": 13488077.95, "trend": 21.866535, "fair_value": 18.003161, "relative_strength": -15.934697, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.356331, "energy": 55.639389, "activity_lines": [ 17.768667, 18.249273, 19.671843, 20.602274 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }