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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.087, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.676, "architecture_energy": 16.51, "architecture_maturity": 62.388, "architecture_confidence": 87.289, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.1, "rotation_up": 25.95, "upward_expansion": 61.05, "deceleration": 88.05, "rotation_down": 30.22, "downward_expansion": 15.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 315.950667, 321.72099, 316.738611, 308.280962 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 305.72, "trend_reference": 292.511935, "distance_from_trend": 0.045154, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 171.431669, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.783334, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.989087, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.208233, "excess_performance": 0.082608, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045154, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150298, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.783334, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192535, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.069891, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135236, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.208233, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.582497, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1115386, "relative_activity": 0.788228, "balance": 0.582497, "dry_up": 0.662383, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083027, "annualized_volatility": 0.291368, "from_high_reference": -0.155616, "from_low_reference": 0.673741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 292.511935, "fair_value_reference": 171.431669, 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"activity_lines": [ 322.276667, 324.404078, 317.135563, 307.226403 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 305.72, "volume": 1115386, "typical_volume": 1415054.65, "trend": 292.511935, "fair_value": 171.431669, "relative_strength": 6.989087, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.676327, "energy": 16.510204, "activity_lines": [ 315.950667, 321.72099, 316.738611, 308.280962 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }