{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1611b57a-5ce8-49ad-ae55-75bd77095312", "symbol": "GQRE", "name": "FLEXSHARES TRUST GLOBAL QUALITY REAL ESTATE INDEX", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 51.45, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.081, "architecture_energy": 50.468, "architecture_maturity": 32.178, "architecture_confidence": 70.978, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.67, "rotation_up": 60.25, "upward_expansion": 81.28, "deceleration": 52.81, "rotation_down": 17.16, "downward_expansion": 7.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.47324, 65.147104, 64.476722, 63.808907 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 64.7434, "trend_reference": 63.027457, "distance_from_trend": 0.027225, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 55.003897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.177069, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.312032, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.046274, "excess_performance": -0.079351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027225, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036207, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.177069, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024754, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.05312, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022856, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.046274, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.669756, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60037, "relative_activity": 0.801283, "balance": 0.669756, "dry_up": 0.699866, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02592, "annualized_volatility": 0.155269, "from_high_reference": -0.040696, "from_low_reference": 0.145453 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.027457, "fair_value_reference": 55.003897, "structural_low": 57.98083, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.00561, "positive_rate": 0.607143, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.010274, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.073495, "worst_return": -0.079601, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.007527, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.034351, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.090513, "worst_return": -0.068768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.030591, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.057305, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.086481, "worst_return": -0.194586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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63.235138 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.475, "volume": 63030, "typical_volume": 75531.95, "trend": 62.615289, "fair_value": 54.776544, "relative_strength": 1.516069, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.00618, "energy": 72.99094, "activity_lines": [ 65.6845, 64.942651, 64.122127, 63.501661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.4856, "volume": 56858, "typical_volume": 76179.3, "trend": 62.8514, "fair_value": 54.892786, "relative_strength": -1.002263, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.069649, "energy": 63.606167, "activity_lines": [ 65.72696, 65.127841, 64.346296, 63.686843 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.7434, "volume": 60037, "typical_volume": 74926.1, "trend": 63.027457, "fair_value": 55.003897, "relative_strength": -5.312032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.081009, "energy": 50.467875, "activity_lines": [ 65.47324, 65.147104, 64.476722, 63.808907 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }