{ "ticker": { "uuid": "161a03ca-aca9-45bc-8461-37acfaf05b32", "symbol": "JMART", "name": "Jaymart Group Holdings Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.711, "architecture_energy": 58.662, "architecture_maturity": 60.335, "architecture_confidence": 76.078, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.5, "rotation_up": 58.71, "upward_expansion": 81.3, "deceleration": 70.12, "rotation_down": 19.97, "downward_expansion": 10.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.193333, 10.796364, 9.782292, 9.052631 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.0, "trend_reference": 8.276295, "distance_from_trend": 0.329097, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.166741, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014932, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.668598, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.594703, "excess_performance": 0.402378, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.329097, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165151, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014932, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.370349, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.186686, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.334436, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.594703, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.376956, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65110600, "relative_activity": 1.019396, "balance": 1.376956, "dry_up": 1.205041, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103014, "annualized_volatility": 0.61329, "from_high_reference": -0.140625, "from_low_reference": 0.924641 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.276295, "fair_value_reference": 11.166741, "structural_low": 5.715351, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.023041, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.034153, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.210843, "worst_return": -0.193694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.156701, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.121478, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.259036, "worst_return": -0.236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.262141, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.234576, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.532113, "worst_return": -0.455479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"gate": "up", "direction": 81.800868, "energy": 85.927849, "activity_lines": [ 10.96, 10.171362, 9.023593, 8.462894 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.0, "volume": 78923500, "typical_volume": 64280640.0, "trend": 7.986346, "fair_value": 11.227999, "relative_strength": 16.795886, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.444622, "energy": 74.889951, "activity_lines": [ 11.14, 10.417771, 9.294496, 8.666569 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.1, "volume": 36271100, "typical_volume": 62699445.0, "trend": 8.129703, "fair_value": 11.203939, "relative_strength": 18.793405, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.883905, "energy": 65.090491, "activity_lines": [ 11.236667, 10.641818, 9.553044, 8.86745 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.0, "volume": 65110600, "typical_volume": 63871725.0, "trend": 8.276295, "fair_value": 11.166741, "relative_strength": 18.668598, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.711213, "energy": 58.66232, "activity_lines": [ 11.193333, 10.796364, 9.782292, 9.052631 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }