{ "ticker": { "uuid": "16285d79-38d1-41c3-82b1-4b5acfe0fa4f", "symbol": "QGRP", "name": "WISDOMTREE ISSUER ICAV WT US QU", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.187, "architecture_energy": 34.299, "architecture_maturity": 40.335, "architecture_confidence": 56.517, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.03, "rotation_up": 39.7, "upward_expansion": 67.9, "deceleration": 71.51, "rotation_down": 25.53, "downward_expansion": 8.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 3107.75, 3094.486364, 3074.839286, 2997.166667 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3222.75, "trend_reference": 2904.375, "distance_from_trend": 0.109619, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2539.046363, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.269276, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.727831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.202182, "excess_performance": 0.150947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109619, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029604, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.269276, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032812, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.037278, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032028, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.202182, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.769012, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23885, "relative_activity": 1.264329, "balance": 0.769012, "dry_up": 1.157124, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050172, "annualized_volatility": 0.204816, "from_high_reference": -0.14628, "from_low_reference": 0.29039 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2904.375, "fair_value_reference": 2539.046363, "structural_low": 2497.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.011049, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.032589, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.034674, "worst_return": -0.041294, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.060052, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.182484, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.060052, "worst_return": -0.060052, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.119056, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.048195, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.119056, "worst_return": 0.119056, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 46.744305, "energy": 35.123456, "activity_lines": [ 3087.933333, 3096.227273, 2978.754762, 2911.936559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3088.25, "volume": 3080, "typical_volume": 17503.7, "trend": 2860.95, "fair_value": 2515.087154, "relative_strength": 1.760179, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.475911, "energy": 30.833896, "activity_lines": [ 3080.533333, 3098.972727, 2999.036905, 2927.028495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3114.75, "volume": 18079, "typical_volume": 17806.05, "trend": 2870.775, "fair_value": 2520.212477, "relative_strength": 4.265079, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.50421, "energy": 32.400675, "activity_lines": [ 3089.45, 3103.390909, 3019.735714, 2943.402688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3054.0, "volume": 23728, "typical_volume": 17904.2, "trend": 2878.275, "fair_value": 2524.736101, "relative_strength": 1.178904, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.003664, "energy": 26.541262, "activity_lines": [ 3079.233333, 3093.213636, 3032.585714, 2955.223656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3052.25, "volume": 15989, "typical_volume": 17954.7, "trend": 2885.05, "fair_value": 2529.16899, "relative_strength": -0.183155, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.653439, "energy": 25.477372, "activity_lines": [ 3068.083333, 3082.731818, 3043.527381, 2966.447849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3030.75, "volume": 23837, "typical_volume": 18305.75, "trend": 2892.308333, "fair_value": 2533.348832, "relative_strength": -2.077976, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.100767, "energy": 20.159964, "activity_lines": [ 3056.166667, 3070.209091, 3050.872619, 2975.847849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3222.75, "volume": 23885, "typical_volume": 18891.45, "trend": 2904.375, "fair_value": 2539.046363, "relative_strength": 3.727831, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.186909, "energy": 34.299455, "activity_lines": [ 3107.75, 3094.486364, 3074.839286, 2997.166667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }