{ "ticker": { "uuid": "16364701-10d4-4ee3-9e14-5d0de0c75815", "symbol": "4582", "name": "Hengs Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.304, "architecture_energy": 18.959, "architecture_maturity": 18.879, "architecture_confidence": 57.844, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.37, "rotation_up": 27.24, "upward_expansion": 19.22, "deceleration": 34.18, "rotation_down": 29.1, "downward_expansion": 53.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.356667, 27.165454, 27.572619, 28.380537 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 25.5, "trend_reference": 28.655, "distance_from_trend": -0.110103, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.60356, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.004045, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.998299, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.15, "excess_performance": -0.591372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110103, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103035, "read": "Rising" 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22.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.026846, "positive_rate": 0.173913, "directional_follow_through": 0.173913, "median_excess_return": -0.05675, "regime_survival": 0.521739, "best_return": 0.302326, "worst_return": -0.262357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.05687, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.12492, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.446512, "worst_return": -0.17209, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.059327, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.168473, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.223256, "worst_return": -0.324155, 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27.799999, "volume": 1364196, "typical_volume": 1390487.6, "trend": 27.61, "fair_value": 25.806654, "relative_strength": -12.533359, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.617195, "energy": 9.500714, "activity_lines": [ 26.763332, 26.380909, 28.207143, 28.508817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.5, "volume": 927255, "typical_volume": 1396237.7, "trend": 27.985, "fair_value": 25.769621, "relative_strength": -11.94931, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.733152, "energy": 8.030332, "activity_lines": [ 27.439999, 26.739999, 28.117619, 28.566236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.35, "volume": 743000, "typical_volume": 1405446.2, "trend": 28.246666, "fair_value": 25.71541, "relative_strength": -14.131434, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.582688, "energy": 7.422896, "activity_lines": [ 27.603333, 26.956363, 27.924524, 28.525269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.0, "volume": 761001, "typical_volume": 1406218.85, "trend": 28.496666, "fair_value": 25.667485, "relative_strength": -10.972819, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.598143, "energy": 10.243005, "activity_lines": [ 28.12, 27.414545, 27.909762, 28.573871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 25.5, "volume": 2061233, "typical_volume": 1484305.75, "trend": 28.655, "fair_value": 25.60356, "relative_strength": -23.998299, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.303808, "energy": 18.959228, "activity_lines": [ 27.356667, 27.165454, 27.572619, 28.380537 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }