{ "ticker": { "uuid": "16374dd3-f1ab-4d5a-bd23-aaeda01f9969", "symbol": "603776", "name": "Youon Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 5.805, "architecture_energy": 11.561, "architecture_maturity": 18.245, "architecture_confidence": 43.336, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.01, "rotation_up": 24.55, "upward_expansion": 18.0, "deceleration": 58.46, "rotation_down": 48.69, "downward_expansion": 40.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.655333, 19.917637, 20.142191, 19.963032 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.4, "trend_reference": 19.683, "distance_from_trend": 0.087233, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.591428, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.372549, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.230251, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.143162, "excess_performance": 0.186366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087233, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020867, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.372549, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055182, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.082303, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161442, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143162, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.977585, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19116720, "relative_activity": 1.304205, "balance": 1.977585, "dry_up": 0.852296, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093314, "annualized_volatility": 0.453785, "from_high_reference": -0.119342, "from_low_reference": 0.239861 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.683, "fair_value_reference": 15.591428, "structural_low": 17.26, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.026059, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.015108, "regime_survival": 0.45, "best_return": 0.497137, "worst_return": -0.174336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.027346, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.005468, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.265487, "worst_return": -0.241266, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.038683, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.012571, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.111504, "worst_return": -0.290698, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 14995825.35, "trend": 19.537, "fair_value": 15.512008, "relative_strength": -4.723015, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.51852, "energy": 21.386241, "activity_lines": [ 19.263334, 19.903091, 20.095238, 19.88643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.889999, "volume": 7396996, "typical_volume": 14379204.7, "trend": 19.565667, "fair_value": 15.542632, "relative_strength": -1.938193, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.020927, "energy": 25.769318, "activity_lines": [ 18.986, 19.649818, 19.995953, 19.844688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.4, "volume": 19116720, "typical_volume": 14657761.75, "trend": 19.683, "fair_value": 15.591428, "relative_strength": 8.230251, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.805399, "energy": 11.561174, "activity_lines": [ 19.655333, 19.917637, 20.142191, 19.963032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }