{ "ticker": { "uuid": "163debc3-7398-4606-b1bc-7fb44adbea30", "symbol": "SNT", "name": "Sabien Technology Group Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.253, "architecture_energy": 61.875, "architecture_maturity": 63.547, "architecture_confidence": 92.92, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.73, "rotation_up": 24.58, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 44.37, "rotation_down": 61.37, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.028667, 0.030364, 0.037024, 0.043382 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.0275, "trend_reference": 0.05125, "distance_from_trend": -0.463415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.086689, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.682774, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -59.321192, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.592593, "excess_performance": -0.643828, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.463415, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213555, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.682774, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.320605, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.593212, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.351458, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.592593, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69913, "relative_activity": 0.084842, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.651272, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.326629, "annualized_volatility": 0.563598, "from_high_reference": -0.86174, "from_low_reference": 0.121076 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.05125, "fair_value_reference": 0.086689, "structural_low": 0.02453, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.02381, "positive_rate": 0.451613, "directional_follow_through": 0.548387, "median_excess_return": -0.023964, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 0.62963, "worst_return": -0.375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.011765, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.061724, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.515152, "worst_return": -0.434783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.039205, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.425, "worst_return": -0.402985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.307692, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.176471, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.266667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.184211, "active": 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-69.856724, "energy": 65.820004, "activity_lines": [ 0.031667, 0.033955, 0.042464, 0.048349 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.03, "volume": 525240, "typical_volume": 817407.25, "trend": 0.054, "fair_value": 0.087843, "relative_strength": -56.488221, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.664288, "energy": 58.758083, "activity_lines": [ 0.031, 0.032636, 0.040643, 0.046726 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0275, "volume": 1249414, "typical_volume": 864708.3, "trend": 0.052833, "fair_value": 0.087266, "relative_strength": -59.909165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.182836, "energy": 57.252132, "activity_lines": [ 0.029667, 0.031364, 0.03875, 0.045016 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0275, "volume": 69913, "typical_volume": 824037.75, "trend": 0.05125, "fair_value": 0.086689, "relative_strength": -59.321192, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.253302, "energy": 61.874584, "activity_lines": [ 0.028667, 0.030364, 0.037024, 0.043382 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }