{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1647db4d-daf6-4612-8e54-6afaaa736d48",
    "symbol": "GBK",
    "name": "Goodbye Kansas Group AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.811,
    "architecture_energy": 50.597,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.594,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.691,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.93,
        "rotation_up": 62.63,
        "upward_expansion": 86.29,
        "deceleration": 43.64,
        "rotation_down": 12.7,
        "downward_expansion": 10.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.5712,
        1.499564,
        1.432829,
        1.40903
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.61,
    "trend_reference": 1.4062,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.14493,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.942649,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.674264,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -14.332005,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.045455,
    "excess_performance": -0.01604,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14493,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061261,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.674264,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22763,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.14332,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.264559,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045455,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.129683,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 471850,
      "relative_activity": 1.250066,
      "balance": 2.129683,
      "dry_up": 1.286916,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.176493,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.662121,
      "from_high_reference": -0.440972,
      "from_low_reference": 0.518868
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.4062,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.942649,
      "structural_low": 1.06,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.038793,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092589,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.770701,
        "worst_return": -0.664877,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.273707,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.351022,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.656051,
        "worst_return": -0.932886,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.448276,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.531199,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 5.624204,
        "worst_return": -0.979866,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.929306,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -1.000517,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.929306,
        "worst_return": -0.929306,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-09-09",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.976152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.608949,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.918799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.426752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.353448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.074324,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.130769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 1.324138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.295322,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012295,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.021186,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "start": "2025-11-28",
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        "return": -0.189944,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.133803,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 1.304,
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        "typical_volume": 419394.05,
        "trend": 1.643967,
        "fair_value": 15.064945,
        "relative_strength": -40.318043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "energy": 31.162666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 398229.25,
        "trend": 1.575833,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 11.624292,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 447007.2,
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        "direction": -25.002201,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 1.481967,
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        "relative_strength": -28.748431,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 1.461733,
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        "relative_strength": -31.338415,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 10.472729,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 7.422578,
        "relative_strength": -27.1528,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.45,
        "volume": 242309,
        "typical_volume": 376945.55,
        "trend": 1.418167,
        "fair_value": 6.921734,
        "relative_strength": -22.976055,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -8.895738,
        "energy": 4.987756,
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          1.397467,
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          1.372303
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.48,
        "volume": 37849,
        "typical_volume": 332606.1,
        "trend": 1.416167,
        "fair_value": 6.425997,
        "relative_strength": -19.646866,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.389109,
        "energy": 11.739543,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.431067,
          1.412618,
          1.369338,
          1.376292
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.396,
        "volume": 77328,
        "typical_volume": 327902.6,
        "trend": 1.406533,
        "fair_value": 5.970021,
        "relative_strength": -24.606716,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.034886,
        "energy": 13.729997,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.427867,
          1.411527,
          1.373433,
          1.374991
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.73,
        "volume": 1356010,
        "typical_volume": 377572.4,
        "trend": 1.405867,
        "fair_value": 5.429689,
        "relative_strength": -7.137784,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.408813,
        "energy": 38.722716,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.532933,
          1.468145,
          1.409214,
          1.39586
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.61,
        "volume": 471850,
        "typical_volume": 377460.0,
        "trend": 1.4062,
        "fair_value": 4.942649,
        "relative_strength": -14.332005,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.810542,
        "energy": 50.597368,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.5712,
          1.499564,
          1.432829,
          1.40903
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}