{ "ticker": { "uuid": "164e5a8d-1074-493b-8fc5-0859122d555f", "symbol": "6814", "name": "Lukas Biomedical Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.875, "architecture_energy": 43.74, "architecture_maturity": 22.349, "architecture_confidence": 93.806, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.92, "rotation_up": 15.86, "upward_expansion": 7.46, "deceleration": 41.99, "rotation_down": 56.13, "downward_expansion": 80.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.413333, 23.931818, 24.284048, 24.73129 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.299999, "trend_reference": 25.613333, "distance_from_trend": -0.12936, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.833434, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.198805, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.299995, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.225694, "excess_performance": -0.667066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.12936, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069452, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.198805, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10481, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.413, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082358, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225694, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.860645, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97371, "relative_activity": 0.984591, "balance": 0.860645, "dry_up": 0.605443, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120041, "annualized_volatility": 0.293523, "from_high_reference": -0.313846, "from_low_reference": 0.061905 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.613333, "fair_value_reference": 27.833434, "structural_low": 21.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.017857, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.02491, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.159322, "worst_return": -0.115254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.013932, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057505, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.207516, "worst_return": -0.152824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.105529, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.154522, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.228758, "worst_return": -0.249169, "sufficient": false }, { 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020339, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.035533, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.11794, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.015094, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034749, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", 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"relative_strength": -34.057106, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.454422, "energy": 15.520357, "activity_lines": [ 24.596666, 24.570909, 24.726429, 25.257957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.4, "volume": 38468, "typical_volume": 103176.7, "trend": 26.01, "fair_value": 27.980229, "relative_strength": -35.788462, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.464395, "energy": 27.389159, "activity_lines": [ 24.16, 24.351818, 24.575, 25.074731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.200001, "volume": 62885, "typical_volume": 98392.85, "trend": 25.813333, "fair_value": 27.909396, "relative_strength": -34.665611, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.008404, "energy": 29.648339, "activity_lines": [ 24.063333, 24.307273, 24.514524, 24.957957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 22.299999, "volume": 97371, "typical_volume": 98894.9, "trend": 25.613333, "fair_value": 27.833434, "relative_strength": -41.299995, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.874761, "energy": 43.739922, "activity_lines": [ 23.413333, 23.931818, 24.284048, 24.73129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }