{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1658da48-9011-4ca4-af07-f87458138472", "symbol": "PTMC", "name": "PACER TRENDPILOT US MID CAP ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.441, "architecture_energy": 48.748, "architecture_maturity": 57.736, "architecture_confidence": 56.064, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.57, "rotation_up": 46.14, "upward_expansion": 75.32, "deceleration": 69.64, "rotation_down": 26.43, "downward_expansion": 6.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.332667, 41.223533, 40.708113, 39.99972 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 42.1455, "trend_reference": 39.200387, "distance_from_trend": 0.07513, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.150449, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.199003, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.151405, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.086784, "excess_performance": -0.03884, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07513, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047667, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.199003, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033243, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.001514, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009623, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.086784, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.864261, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100101, "relative_activity": 0.851715, "balance": 0.864261, "dry_up": 0.832639, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025941, "annualized_volatility": 0.136551, "from_high_reference": -0.001291, "from_low_reference": 0.261789 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.200387, "fair_value_reference": 35.150449, "structural_low": 35.44, 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34.798295, "relative_strength": 4.308442, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.74185, "energy": 71.243612, "activity_lines": [ 41.03324, 40.55208, 39.574811, 39.01099 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 41.24, "volume": 140404, "typical_volume": 128150.4, "trend": 38.408743, "fair_value": 34.862731, "relative_strength": 1.802685, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.437425, "energy": 70.57685, "activity_lines": [ 41.169287, 40.740469, 39.800294, 39.205356 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 40.99, "volume": 94378, "typical_volume": 127436.35, "trend": 38.571016, "fair_value": 34.920052, "relative_strength": -0.142282, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.382343, "energy": 58.002316, "activity_lines": [ 41.165333, 40.851027, 39.989206, 39.371888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.98, "volume": 105001, "typical_volume": 126962.15, "trend": 38.73252, "fair_value": 34.974797, "relative_strength": 1.391736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.855757, "energy": 48.903491, "activity_lines": [ 41.096667, 40.931222, 40.167784, 39.527307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.0375, "volume": 90448, "typical_volume": 119320.4, "trend": 38.887537, "fair_value": 35.029054, "relative_strength": 2.108529, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.762317, "energy": 43.990336, "activity_lines": [ 41.061167, 41.004962, 40.34079, 39.676015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.8, "volume": 95886, "typical_volume": 118285.15, "trend": 39.040537, "fair_value": 35.084637, "relative_strength": 0.402847, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.663545, "energy": 34.356149, "activity_lines": [ 40.954, 41.000838, 40.471428, 39.7994 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.1455, "volume": 100101, "typical_volume": 117528.7, "trend": 39.200387, "fair_value": 35.150449, "relative_strength": 0.151405, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.440753, "energy": 48.748476, "activity_lines": [ 41.332667, 41.223533, 40.708113, 39.99972 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }