{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1667d448-b4c5-4bf7-bcb0-8d6e40eba466", "symbol": "002492", "name": "Zhuhai Winbase International Chemical Tank Terminal Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.574, "architecture_energy": 62.535, "architecture_maturity": 66.387, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 26.79, "upward_expansion": 11.96, "deceleration": 59.31, "rotation_down": 55.37, "downward_expansion": 85.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.256667, 5.349091, 5.955429, 6.50172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.53, "trend_reference": 7.211, "distance_from_trend": -0.233116, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.949847, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070564, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.72653, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.391639, "excess_performance": -0.399039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.233116, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070564, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.455666, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.287265, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184236, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.391639, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.252187, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34425807, "relative_activity": 0.920415, "balance": 0.252187, "dry_up": 1.200302, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102657, "annualized_volatility": 0.404564, "from_high_reference": -0.446446, "from_low_reference": 0.223451 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.211, "fair_value_reference": 5.949847, "structural_low": 4.52, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.005085, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.021455, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.072695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.084599, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.049134, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.189493, "worst_return": -0.079361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.076067, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.067266, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.18419, "worst_return": -0.001476, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"relative_strength": -35.077442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.013413, "energy": 79.77596, "activity_lines": [ 5.183333, 5.440545, 6.204095, 6.758108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.23, "volume": 44859350, "typical_volume": 37401681.7, "trend": 7.318, "fair_value": 5.951654, "relative_strength": -29.575514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.251957, "energy": 66.69104, "activity_lines": [ 5.16, 5.350909, 6.058333, 6.617075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.53, "volume": 34425807, "typical_volume": 37402499.55, "trend": 7.211, "fair_value": 5.949847, "relative_strength": -28.72653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.574223, "energy": 62.535387, "activity_lines": [ 5.256667, 5.349091, 5.955429, 6.50172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }