{ "ticker": { "uuid": "167b2350-8cc9-4c72-bff5-42908ef7abd1", "symbol": "AMA", "name": "AMA Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.599, "architecture_energy": 54.503, "architecture_maturity": 98.245, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.55, "rotation_up": 24.76, "upward_expansion": 8.75, "deceleration": 51.34, "rotation_down": 55.34, "downward_expansion": 82.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.444333, 0.451727, 0.475667, 0.506656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.45, "trend_reference": 0.562333, "distance_from_trend": -0.199763, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.638341, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.295048, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.965026, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.37931, "excess_performance": -0.443016, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199763, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177675, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.295048, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181417, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.38965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122613, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.37931, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.156497, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 222350, "relative_activity": 0.080348, "balance": 0.156497, "dry_up": 0.356111, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086325, "annualized_volatility": 0.480611, "from_high_reference": -0.571429, "from_low_reference": 0.084337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.562333, "fair_value_reference": 0.638341, "structural_low": 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"direction": -69.45447, "energy": 62.40087, "activity_lines": [ 0.466, 0.476364, 0.503762, 0.545172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.445, "volume": 977690, "typical_volume": 3204007.4, "trend": 0.597833, "fair_value": 0.649544, "relative_strength": -38.877104, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.160746, "energy": 60.989619, "activity_lines": [ 0.458667, 0.467364, 0.495452, 0.53457 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.43, "volume": 975122, "typical_volume": 3148498.55, "trend": 0.585833, "fair_value": 0.64624, "relative_strength": -40.02519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.239573, "energy": 71.213789, "activity_lines": [ 0.447333, 0.458455, 0.48681, 0.523742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.445, "volume": 1766778, "typical_volume": 2846952.25, "trend": 0.574, "fair_value": 0.642022, "relative_strength": -38.544683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.275743, "energy": 59.78248, "activity_lines": [ 0.444, 0.454182, 0.480476, 0.514656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.45, "volume": 222350, "typical_volume": 2767353.7, "trend": 0.562333, "fair_value": 0.638341, "relative_strength": -38.965026, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.598993, "energy": 54.503026, "activity_lines": [ 0.444333, 0.451727, 0.475667, 0.506656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }