{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "16822184-fa96-4393-ad69-145cc834a602",
    "symbol": "HQY",
    "name": "HealthEquity Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.703,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.342,
    "architecture_energy": 80.476,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.401,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.595,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.58,
        "rotation_up": 77.81,
        "upward_expansion": 93.38,
        "deceleration": 42.31,
        "rotation_down": 10.65,
        "downward_expansion": 17.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        99.949,
        96.551455,
        92.144524,
        89.172194
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 104.63,
    "trend_reference": 85.937667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.21751,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 86.276923,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212723,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.137876,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.316929,
    "excess_performance": 0.129475,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21751,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011554,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212723,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.200703,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021379,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253854,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.316929,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.195288,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3292508,
      "relative_activity": 0.740753,
      "balance": 1.195288,
      "dry_up": 0.825336,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065039,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.322129,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01682,
      "from_low_reference": 0.438015
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 85.937667,
      "fair_value_reference": 86.276923,
      "structural_low": 72.76,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.006332,
        "positive_rate": 0.52381,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52381,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012518,
        "regime_survival": 0.619048,
        "best_return": 0.176184,
        "worst_return": -0.218416,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045087,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.279046,
        "worst_return": -0.183998,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.013663,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "median_return": 0.062277,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.172892,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
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        "return": -0.071631,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.044647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "return": 0.093067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 4634979.5,
        "trend": 87.9405,
        "fair_value": 83.642724,
        "relative_strength": -21.998075,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 4705022.3,
        "trend": 86.774167,
        "fair_value": 84.54375,
        "relative_strength": -15.892196,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 4690267.45,
        "trend": 86.3265,
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        "relative_strength": -17.276436,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.306932,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.953749,
        "energy": 22.457908,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 4079175,
        "typical_volume": 4656689.95,
        "trend": 85.239167,
        "fair_value": 85.212724,
        "relative_strength": -7.405796,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.505615,
        "energy": 39.989992,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 3508854,
        "typical_volume": 4672505.05,
        "trend": 85.1595,
        "fair_value": 85.419071,
        "relative_strength": -9.42661,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.287654,
        "energy": 56.296477,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 97.67,
        "volume": 4555742,
        "typical_volume": 4707801.15,
        "trend": 85.231833,
        "fair_value": 85.642917,
        "relative_strength": -1.771404,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.296914,
        "energy": 72.474775,
        "activity_lines": [
          94.267333,
          91.6,
          88.339857,
          86.347387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 94.635,
        "volume": 3325834,
        "typical_volume": 4624595.45,
        "trend": 85.270333,
        "fair_value": 85.834231,
        "relative_strength": -2.863205,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.186066,
        "energy": 71.425749,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.075667,
          92.509455,
          89.188952,
          86.954043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 100.61,
        "volume": 3499779,
        "typical_volume": 4601944.5,
        "trend": 85.588333,
        "fair_value": 86.049872,
        "relative_strength": 2.966423,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.63262,
        "energy": 75.827353,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.247333,
          94.278636,
          90.529595,
          87.943699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 104.63,
        "volume": 3292508,
        "typical_volume": 4444812.4,
        "trend": 85.937667,
        "fair_value": 86.276923,
        "relative_strength": 2.137876,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.342083,
        "energy": 80.475536,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.949,
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          92.144524,
          89.172194
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}