{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "16874b64-7cd8-4a49-b3d7-6c7d200a4fad",
    "symbol": "PYT",
    "name": "Polytec Holding AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.811,
    "architecture_energy": 51.567,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.479,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.22,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.99,
        "rotation_up": 55.07,
        "upward_expansion": 83.4,
        "deceleration": 63.25,
        "rotation_down": 26.36,
        "downward_expansion": 7.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.730667,
        4.684727,
        4.515317,
        4.326066
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.84,
    "trend_reference": 4.137381,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.169822,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.386772,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.429089,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.433673,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.152381,
    "excess_performance": -0.021866,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169822,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127337,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.429089,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.199422,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064337,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037333,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152381,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.882605,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 135073,
      "relative_activity": 1.504491,
      "balance": 4.882605,
      "dry_up": 0.952368,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058931,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.288978,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032,
      "from_low_reference": 0.668966
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.137381,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.386772,
      "structural_low": 3.28,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.006024,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011394,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.105398,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": -0.033309,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.060593,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.039157,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 7.778369,
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        "direction": 74.223265,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 91652.35,
        "trend": 3.996714,
        "fair_value": 3.382092,
        "relative_strength": 5.501626,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.704631,
        "energy": 51.553317,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.350671,
          4.191538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.68,
        "volume": 113125,
        "typical_volume": 88688.9,
        "trend": 4.041381,
        "fair_value": 3.383246,
        "relative_strength": 6.082659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.607693,
        "energy": 51.728191,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.624805,
          4.405092,
          4.235621
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.69,
        "volume": 68262,
        "typical_volume": 85940.25,
        "trend": 4.086714,
        "fair_value": 3.383951,
        "relative_strength": 6.331522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.393427,
        "energy": 49.485648,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.684667,
          4.645573,
          4.4558,
          4.277467
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.84,
        "volume": 135073,
        "typical_volume": 89779.85,
        "trend": 4.137381,
        "fair_value": 3.386772,
        "relative_strength": 6.433673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.811174,
        "energy": 51.566509,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.730667,
          4.684727,
          4.515317,
          4.326066
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}