{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "16894c74-0f81-40da-a003-6bfe67038b70",
    "symbol": "IWDC",
    "name": "iShares MSCI World CHF Hedged UCITS ETF (Acc)",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 72.54,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.399,
    "architecture_energy": 59.291,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.551,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.719,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.32,
        "rotation_up": 52.95,
        "upward_expansion": 79.97,
        "deceleration": 68.47,
        "rotation_down": 27.19,
        "downward_expansion": 8.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        93.681334,
        93.282364,
        92.425953,
        90.952947
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 95.800003,
    "trend_reference": 89.396333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.071632,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 76.742925,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.248324,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.08181,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.095483,
    "excess_performance": 0.0126,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071632,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027469,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248324,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019311,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010818,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060557,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095483,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.413158,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 137548,
      "relative_activity": 0.951032,
      "balance": 1.413158,
      "dry_up": 0.851753,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017328,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.123765,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002914,
      "from_low_reference": 0.196005
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 89.396333,
      "fair_value_reference": 76.742925,
      "structural_low": 80.099998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.009939,
        "positive_rate": 0.707317,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.707317,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005084,
        "regime_survival": 0.780488,
        "best_return": 0.057366,
        "worst_return": -0.091092,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006369,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.096784,
        "worst_return": -0.072283,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.051006,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.155002,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029331,
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        "worst_return": -0.112058,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "end": "2023-12-22",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "trend": 85.899543,
        "fair_value": 73.760169,
        "relative_strength": 2.235677,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 31.898146,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 88.970001,
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        "typical_volume": 214663.8,
        "trend": 86.025877,
        "fair_value": 73.951835,
        "relative_strength": 2.445634,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.503488,
        "energy": 48.736125,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.31,
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          86.413428,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 91.139999,
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        "typical_volume": 214760.05,
        "trend": 86.27121,
        "fair_value": 74.157092,
        "relative_strength": 4.973884,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.853281,
        "energy": 72.014474,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 221501.45,
        "trend": 86.534876,
        "fair_value": 74.359335,
        "relative_strength": 4.183884,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.762992,
        "energy": 79.380687,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.391333,
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          87.00182
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 92.510002,
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        "typical_volume": 222898.35,
        "trend": 86.764666,
        "fair_value": 74.568502,
        "relative_strength": 2.972528,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.349961,
        "energy": 81.75797,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.238,
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          87.815286,
          87.387312
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 93.410004,
        "volume": 174324,
        "typical_volume": 215531.85,
        "trend": 87.006333,
        "fair_value": 74.778887,
        "relative_strength": 3.479509,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.221772,
        "energy": 84.961001,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 208921,
        "typical_volume": 214149.85,
        "trend": 87.289666,
        "fair_value": 74.980361,
        "relative_strength": 3.41032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.461722,
        "energy": 79.879791,
        "activity_lines": [
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          88.167247
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 21954,
        "typical_volume": 204185.7,
        "trend": 87.520333,
        "fair_value": 75.171899,
        "relative_strength": 0.689658,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.821658,
        "energy": 75.484042,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 93.110001,
        "volume": 18072,
        "typical_volume": 190699.6,
        "trend": 87.851333,
        "fair_value": 75.377605,
        "relative_strength": 1.051842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.890307,
        "energy": 75.518766,
        "activity_lines": [
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          89.762762,
          88.848538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 91.790001,
        "volume": 25462,
        "typical_volume": 182885.8,
        "trend": 88.042333,
        "fair_value": 75.566771,
        "relative_strength": -3.147828,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.330624,
        "energy": 54.743678,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.432001,
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          90.09181,
          89.102645
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 93.410004,
        "volume": 19110,
        "typical_volume": 176221.0,
        "trend": 88.277334,
        "fair_value": 75.770938,
        "relative_strength": -3.111403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.926255,
        "energy": 58.460273,
        "activity_lines": [
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          90.554477,
          89.448947
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 93.57,
        "volume": 174075,
        "typical_volume": 177481.1,
        "trend": 88.538667,
        "fair_value": 75.966899,
        "relative_strength": -1.625879,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.270369,
        "energy": 68.474122,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.022668,
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          89.790409
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 92.589996,
        "volume": 122128,
        "typical_volume": 170077.5,
        "trend": 88.75,
        "fair_value": 76.154143,
        "relative_strength": -3.327363,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.349673,
        "energy": 60.252637,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.943333,
          92.805637,
          91.330477,
          90.051785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 92.529999,
        "volume": 116845,
        "typical_volume": 153887.35,
        "trend": 88.948333,
        "fair_value": 76.337028,
        "relative_strength": -3.188123,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.780736,
        "energy": 52.854459,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.821999,
          92.782727,
          91.629667,
          90.295656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 92.470001,
        "volume": 116236,
        "typical_volume": 149470.0,
        "trend": 89.133666,
        "fair_value": 76.526579,
        "relative_strength": -3.265783,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.380323,
        "energy": 41.180163,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.719333,
          92.729455,
          91.888905,
          90.52286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 95.800003,
        "volume": 137548,
        "typical_volume": 144630.25,
        "trend": 89.396333,
        "fair_value": 76.742925,
        "relative_strength": -1.08181,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.398599,
        "energy": 59.291242,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.681334,
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          92.425953,
          90.952947
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}