{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1697dec1-8ed0-4e28-bf40-d115a077c881", "symbol": "3494", "name": "HiTi Digital, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.57, "architecture_energy": 77.718, "architecture_maturity": 51.636, "architecture_confidence": 81.435, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.14, "rotation_up": 9.88, "upward_expansion": 18.21, "deceleration": 37.23, "rotation_down": 76.2, "downward_expansion": 93.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.099333, 7.306727, 7.577143, 7.751054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.1, "trend_reference": 8.072333, "distance_from_trend": -0.120453, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.142956, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.459787, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.547225, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.202247, "excess_performance": -0.547979, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120453, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042806, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.459787, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.435472, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081827, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.202247, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.568125, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 255101, "relative_activity": 0.51366, "balance": 1.568125, "dry_up": 0.762298, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057313, "annualized_volatility": 0.203174, "from_high_reference": -0.470149, "from_low_reference": 0.053412 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.072333, "fair_value_reference": 13.142956, "structural_low": 6.74, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.033645, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.071277, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.301741, "worst_return": -0.235955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.110357, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.159346, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.407555, "worst_return": -0.251852, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.146378, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.305116, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.596422, "worst_return": -0.331126, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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7.883381, 8.046366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.02, "volume": 482245, "typical_volume": 516127.2, "trend": 8.237333, "fair_value": 13.322628, "relative_strength": -45.90388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.128304, "energy": 73.865903, "activity_lines": [ 7.398, 7.643818, 7.792381, 7.963828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.05, "volume": 509133, "typical_volume": 512653.65, "trend": 8.183333, "fair_value": 13.258134, "relative_strength": -45.582642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.55721, "energy": 78.277292, "activity_lines": [ 7.23, 7.506727, 7.711143, 7.887226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 7.11, "volume": 267855, "typical_volume": 501352.15, "trend": 8.137333, "fair_value": 13.197585, "relative_strength": -45.610519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.570124, "energy": 78.807276, "activity_lines": [ 7.144, 7.398545, 7.64219, 7.817978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 7.1, "volume": 255101, "typical_volume": 496634.2, "trend": 8.072333, "fair_value": 13.142956, "relative_strength": -43.547225, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.57007, "energy": 77.71782, "activity_lines": [ 7.099333, 7.306727, 7.577143, 7.751054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }